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Intrinsic Valuation of: STLD |
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Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
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Key Statistics |
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Year |
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FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
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2020 |
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- |
- |
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EPS (FY) |
7 |
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Market Cap |
$19B |
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2021 |
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- |
- (-) |
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P/E Ratio |
19 |
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Total Asset |
$15B |
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2022 |
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$1B |
- (-) |
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Net Income |
$2B |
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Total Debt |
$3B |
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2023 |
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$4B |
196.5% (145.2%) |
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EBITDA |
$3B |
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Total Liab |
$6B |
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2024 |
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$2B |
-47.6% (-37.9%) |
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Opr Margin |
0.12 |
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Debt/Equity |
0.31 |
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2025 |
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$-24M |
-101.3% (-101.4%) |
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PreTax Margin |
11.70 |
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BV/Share |
56 |
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5Y Average FCF |
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$2B |
15.9% (2.0%) |
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Overall Market Assumptions: |
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Assumptions: |
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P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
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Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
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Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
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Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
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Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
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Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
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Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
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Year |
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FCF Projection (15.9%) |
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2026 |
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$2B |
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MBG Intrinsic Value |
$62 |
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2027 |
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$2B |
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2028 |
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$3B |
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2029 |
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$3B |
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2030 |
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$3B |
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2031 |
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$4B |
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Terminal Value |
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$83B |
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Net Worth/Share |
$61 |
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DCF Valuation |
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DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
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Enterprise Value |
$67B |
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Growth Rate |
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(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
$589M |
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$440 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
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(-) Total Debt |
$3B |
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WACC |
7.3% |
382 |
413 |
450 |
495 |
552 |
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Equity Value |
$65B |
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7.4% |
378 |
408 |
445 |
489 |
545 |
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Shares Outstanding |
147,204,992 |
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7.4% |
375 |
404 |
440 |
483 |
537 |
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7.9% |
342 |
366 |
395 |
430 |
472 |
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DCF Intrinsic Value |
$440 |
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8.4% |
314 |
335 |
358 |
386 |
420 |
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Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
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