|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Intrinsic Valuation of: SSNC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
|
Key Statistics |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2020 |
|
- |
- |
|
EPS (FY) |
3 |
|
Market Cap |
$21B |
|
|
2021 |
|
- |
- (-) |
|
P/E Ratio |
26 |
|
Total Asset |
$19B |
|
|
2022 |
|
$1B |
- (-) |
|
Net Income |
$760M |
|
Total Debt |
$7B |
|
|
2023 |
|
$926M |
-28.4% (-31.5%) |
|
EBITDA |
$2B |
|
Total Liab |
$12B |
|
|
2024 |
|
$964M |
4.1% (-0.1%) |
|
Opr Margin |
0.23 |
|
Debt/Equity |
1.06 |
|
|
2025 |
|
$1B |
17.6% (10.0%) |
|
PreTax Margin |
14.97 |
|
BV/Share |
-25 |
|
|
5Y Average FCF |
|
$1B |
-2.2% (-7.2%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Overall Market Assumptions: |
|
|
Assumptions: |
|
|
|
P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
|
|
|
Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
|
|
|
Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
|
|
|
Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
|
|
|
Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
|
Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF Projection (4.0%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2026 |
|
$1B |
|
|
MBG Intrinsic Value |
$29 |
|
|
2027 |
|
$1B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2028 |
|
$1B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2029 |
|
$1B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2030 |
|
$1B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2031 |
|
$1B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Terminal Value |
|
$30B |
|
|
Net Worth/Share |
$27 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DCF Valuation |
|
DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Enterprise Value |
$25B |
|
|
|
Growth Rate |
|
|
(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
$567M |
|
|
$77 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
|
|
(-) Total Debt |
$7B |
|
WACC |
7.3% |
65 |
71 |
79 |
89 |
101 |
|
|
Equity Value |
$19B |
|
7.4% |
64 |
71 |
78 |
88 |
100 |
|
|
Shares Outstanding |
246,662,000 |
|
7.4% |
63 |
70 |
77 |
86 |
98 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.9% |
56 |
61 |
68 |
75 |
84 |
|
|
DCF Intrinsic Value |
$77 |
|
8.4% |
50 |
55 |
60 |
66 |
73 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|