| Intrinsic Valuation of: SAIL | |||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF (FCF/Revenue) | |||||||||
| 2020 | - | - | EPS (FY) | -2 | Market Cap | $11B | |||||
| 2021 | - | - (-) | P/E Ratio | - | Total Asset | $7B | |||||
| 2022 | - | - (-) | Net Income | $-316M | Total Debt | $1B | |||||
| 2023 | $-13M | -% (-%) | EBITDA | $47M | Total Liab | $13B | |||||
| 2024 | $-255M | -1878.8% (-1173.0%) | Opr Margin | -0.22 | Debt/Equity | -0.18 | |||||
| 2025 | $-120M | 52.9% (61.8%) | PreTax Margin | -43.57 | BV/Share | -22 | |||||
| 5Y Average FCF | $-129M | -912.9% (-%) | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.0 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.5% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.4% | ||||||||
| Discount Rate (WACC): | 7.4% | Current US Bond Yield: | 3.5% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection (4.0%) | ||||||||||
| 2026 | $-134M | MBG Intrinsic Value | $-15 | ||||||||
| 2027 | $-140M | ||||||||||
| 2028 | $-145M | ||||||||||
| 2029 | $-151M | ||||||||||
| 2030 | $-157M | ||||||||||
| 2031 | $-164M | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | $-3B | Net Worth/Share | $-10 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | $-3B | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | $121M | $-7 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | $1B | WACC | 7.3% | -6 | -7 | -7 | -7 | -8 | |||
| Equity Value | $-4B | 7.4% | -6 | -7 | -7 | -7 | -8 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 556,588,992 | 7.4% | -6 | -6 | -7 | -7 | -8 | ||||
| 7.9% | -6 | -6 | -6 | -7 | -7 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | $-7 | 8.4% | -5 | -6 | -6 | -6 | -7 | ||||
| Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) | |||||||||||