| Intrinsic Valuation of: PODD | |||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF (FCF/Revenue) | |||||||||
| 2020 | - | - | EPS (FY) | 4 | Market Cap | $10B | |||||
| 2021 | - | - (-) | P/E Ratio | 35 | Total Asset | $3B | |||||
| 2022 | $-38M | - (-) | Net Income | $247M | Total Debt | $931M | |||||
| 2023 | $36M | 195.3% (173.3%) | EBITDA | $489M | Total Liab | $2B | |||||
| 2024 | $296M | 711.5% (564.8%) | Opr Margin | 17.50 | Debt/Equity | 0.61 | |||||
| 2025 | $350M | 18.1% (-9.6%) | PreTax Margin | 15.30 | BV/Share | 19 | |||||
| 5Y Average FCF | $161M | 15.0% (242.8%) | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.0 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.48% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.40% | ||||||||
| Discount Rate (WACC): | 9.57% | Current US Bond Yield: | 3.48% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection (15.0%) | ||||||||||
| 2026 | $360M | MBG Intrinsic Value | $38 | ||||||||
| 2027 | $405M | ||||||||||
| 2028 | $446M | ||||||||||
| 2029 | $479M | ||||||||||
| 2030 | $503M | ||||||||||
| 2031 | $515M | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | $7B | Net Worth/Share | $22 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | $6B | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | $716M | $87 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | $931M | WACC | 7.6% | 107 | 115 | 124 | 135 | 148 | |||
| Equity Value | $6B | 8.6% | 91 | 96 | 102 | 110 | 118 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 69,264,674 | 9.6% | 79 | 83 | 87 | 92 | 98 | ||||
| 10.6% | 70 | 73 | 76 | 79 | 84 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | $87 | 11.6% | 62 | 64 | 67 | 70 | 73 | ||||
| Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) | |||||||||||