| Intrinsic Valuation of: PLTR | |||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF (FCF/Revenue) | |||||||||
| 2020 | - | - | EPS (FY) | 0 | Market Cap | $308B | |||||
| 2021 | - | - (-) | P/E Ratio | 568 | Total Asset | $6B | |||||
| 2022 | $321M | - (-) | Net Income | $462M | Total Debt | $0 | |||||
| 2023 | $184M | -42.8% (-53.7%) | EBITDA | $342M | Total Liab | $1B | |||||
| 2024 | $697M | 279.4% (225.0%) | Opr Margin | 0.11 | Debt/Equity | - | |||||
| 2025 | $1B | 63.7% (27.1%) | PreTax Margin | 10.83 | BV/Share | 2 | |||||
| 5Y Average FCF | $586M | 100.1% (66.1%) | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.0 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.5% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.4% | ||||||||
| Discount Rate (WACC): | 7.4% | Current US Bond Yield: | 3.5% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection (25.0%) | ||||||||||
| 2026 | $1B | MBG Intrinsic Value | $2 | ||||||||
| 2027 | $2B | ||||||||||
| 2028 | $2B | ||||||||||
| 2029 | $3B | ||||||||||
| 2030 | $3B | ||||||||||
| 2031 | $4B | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | $91B | Net Worth/Share | $2 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | $71B | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | $2B | $32 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | $0 | WACC | 7.3% | 28 | 30 | 33 | 36 | 40 | |||
| Equity Value | $73B | 7.4% | 28 | 30 | 33 | 36 | 40 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 2,262,909,952 | 7.4% | 28 | 30 | 32 | 35 | 39 | ||||
| 7.9% | 25 | 27 | 29 | 32 | 35 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | $32 | 8.4% | 23 | 25 | 27 | 29 | 31 | ||||
| Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) | |||||||||||