| Intrinsic Valuation of: PLTR | |||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF (FCF/Revenue) | |||||||||
| 2020 | - | - | EPS (FY) | 1 | Market Cap | $321B | |||||
| 2021 | - | - (-) | P/E Ratio | 152 | Total Asset | $9B | |||||
| 2022 | $184M | - (-) | Net Income | $2B | Total Debt | $0 | |||||
| 2023 | $697M | 279.4% (225.0%) | EBITDA | $1B | Total Liab | $1B | |||||
| 2024 | $1B | 63.7% (27.1%) | Opr Margin | 31.59 | Debt/Equity | - | |||||
| 2025 | $2B | 84.1% (17.9%) | PreTax Margin | 31.59 | BV/Share | 3 | |||||
| 5Y Average FCF | $1B | 15.0% (90.0%) | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.0 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.48% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.40% | ||||||||
| Discount Rate (WACC): | 11.85% | Current US Bond Yield: | 3.48% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection (15.0%) | ||||||||||
| 2026 | $2B | MBG Intrinsic Value | $8 | ||||||||
| 2027 | $2B | ||||||||||
| 2028 | $3B | ||||||||||
| 2029 | $3B | ||||||||||
| 2030 | $3B | ||||||||||
| 2031 | $3B | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | $32B | Net Worth/Share | $3 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | $27B | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | $1B | $12 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | $0 | WACC | 9.8% | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | |||
| Equity Value | $28B | 10.8% | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 2,296,071,334 | 11.8% | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | ||||
| 12.8% | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | $12 | 13.8% | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | ||||
| Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) | |||||||||||