Intrinsic Valuation of: ON
Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y Key Statistics
Year FCF FCF (FCF/Revenue)
2020 - - EPS (FY) 1 Market Cap $44B
2021 - - (-) P/E Ratio 83 Total Asset $13B
2022 $2B - (-) Net Income $121M Total Debt $3B
2023 $438M -72.6% (-72.3%) EBITDA $888M Total Liab $5B
2024 $1B 176.6% (222.3%) Opr Margin 12.53 Debt/Equity 0.39
2025 $1B 17.0% (38.2%) PreTax Margin 11.35 BV/Share 15
5Y Average FCF $1B 10.1% (62.7%)
Overall Market Assumptions:
Assumptions: P/E for No-Growth Company: 7.0
Perpetual Growth Rate (g): 2.48% Historical US Bond Yield: 4.40%
Discount Rate (WACC): 13.37% Current US Bond Yield: 3.48%
Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value
Year FCF Projection (10.1%)
2026 $1B MBG Intrinsic Value $12
2027 $2B
2028 $2B
2029 $2B
2030 $2B
2031 $2B
Terminal Value $18B Net Worth/Share $20
DCF Valuation DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table
Enterprise Value $15B Growth Rate
(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents $2B $37 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5%
(-) Total Debt $3B WACC 11.4% 43 45 46 48 50
Equity Value $14B 12.0% 40 41 43 45 46
Shares Outstanding 388,803,191 12.7% 38 39 40 41 43
13.3% 35 36 37 38 40
DCF Intrinsic Value $37 14.0% 33 34 35 36 37
Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025)