| Intrinsic Valuation of: ON | |||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF (FCF/Revenue) | |||||||||
| 2020 | - | - | EPS (FY) | 1 | Market Cap | $44B | |||||
| 2021 | - | - (-) | P/E Ratio | 83 | Total Asset | $13B | |||||
| 2022 | $2B | - (-) | Net Income | $121M | Total Debt | $3B | |||||
| 2023 | $438M | -72.6% (-72.3%) | EBITDA | $888M | Total Liab | $5B | |||||
| 2024 | $1B | 176.6% (222.3%) | Opr Margin | 12.53 | Debt/Equity | 0.39 | |||||
| 2025 | $1B | 17.0% (38.2%) | PreTax Margin | 11.35 | BV/Share | 15 | |||||
| 5Y Average FCF | $1B | 10.1% (62.7%) | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.0 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.48% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.40% | ||||||||
| Discount Rate (WACC): | 13.37% | Current US Bond Yield: | 3.48% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection (10.1%) | ||||||||||
| 2026 | $1B | MBG Intrinsic Value | $12 | ||||||||
| 2027 | $2B | ||||||||||
| 2028 | $2B | ||||||||||
| 2029 | $2B | ||||||||||
| 2030 | $2B | ||||||||||
| 2031 | $2B | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | $18B | Net Worth/Share | $20 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | $15B | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | $2B | $37 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | $3B | WACC | 11.4% | 43 | 45 | 46 | 48 | 50 | |||
| Equity Value | $14B | 12.0% | 40 | 41 | 43 | 45 | 46 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 388,803,191 | 12.7% | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 43 | ||||
| 13.3% | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 40 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | $37 | 14.0% | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | ||||
| Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) | |||||||||||