| Intrinsic Valuation of: NXPI | |||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF (FCF/Revenue) | |||||||||
| 2020 | - | - | EPS (FY) | 9 | Market Cap | $56B | |||||
| 2021 | - | - (-) | P/E Ratio | 24 | Total Asset | $24B | |||||
| 2022 | $2B | - (-) | Net Income | $3B | Total Debt | $10B | |||||
| 2023 | $3B | 24.4% (4.2%) | EBITDA | $4B | Total Liab | $15B | |||||
| 2024 | $3B | -6.0% (-6.5%) | Opr Margin | 0.28 | Debt/Equity | 1.09 | |||||
| 2025 | $2B | -24.0% (-20.0%) | PreTax Margin | 24.37 | BV/Share | -6 | |||||
| 5Y Average FCF | $2B | -1.9% (-7.4%) | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.0 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.5% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.4% | ||||||||
| Discount Rate (WACC): | 7.4% | Current US Bond Yield: | 3.5% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection (4.0%) | ||||||||||
| 2026 | $2B | MBG Intrinsic Value | $82 | ||||||||
| 2027 | $2B | ||||||||||
| 2028 | $2B | ||||||||||
| 2029 | $2B | ||||||||||
| 2030 | $2B | ||||||||||
| 2031 | $2B | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | $50B | Net Worth/Share | $38 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | $43B | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | $3B | $141 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | $10B | WACC | 7.3% | 120 | 131 | 144 | 160 | 180 | |||
| Equity Value | $36B | 7.4% | 119 | 130 | 142 | 158 | 178 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 252,628,992 | 7.4% | 118 | 128 | 141 | 156 | 175 | ||||
| 7.9% | 106 | 115 | 125 | 137 | 152 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | $141 | 8.4% | 96 | 103 | 112 | 122 | 134 | ||||
| Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) | |||||||||||