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Intrinsic Valuation of: NVDA |
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Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
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Key Statistics |
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Year |
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FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
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2020 |
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- |
- |
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EPS (FY) |
3 |
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Market Cap |
$3,853B |
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2021 |
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- |
- (-) |
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P/E Ratio |
51 |
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Total Asset |
$112B |
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2022 |
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$8B |
- (-) |
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Net Income |
$73B |
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Total Debt |
$8B |
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2023 |
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$4B |
-53.2% (-53.3%) |
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EBITDA |
$86B |
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Total Liab |
$32B |
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2024 |
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$27B |
609.6% (214.2%) |
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Opr Margin |
0.62 |
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Debt/Equity |
0.11 |
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2025 |
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$61B |
125.2% (5.1%) |
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PreTax Margin |
62.23 |
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BV/Share |
3 |
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5Y Average FCF |
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$25B |
227.2% (55.3%) |
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Overall Market Assumptions: |
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Assumptions: |
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P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
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Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
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Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
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Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
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Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
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Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
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Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
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Year |
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FCF Projection (25.0%) |
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2026 |
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$76B |
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MBG Intrinsic Value |
$27 |
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2027 |
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$95B |
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2028 |
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$119B |
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2029 |
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$149B |
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2030 |
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$186B |
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2031 |
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$232B |
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Terminal Value |
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$4,826B |
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Net Worth/Share |
$3 |
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DCF Valuation |
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DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
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Enterprise Value |
$3,781B |
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Growth Rate |
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(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
$9B |
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$155 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
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(-) Total Debt |
$8B |
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WACC |
7.3% |
135 |
146 |
159 |
175 |
195 |
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Equity Value |
$3,781B |
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7.4% |
134 |
144 |
157 |
172 |
192 |
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Shares Outstanding |
24,387,600,384 |
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7.4% |
132 |
143 |
155 |
170 |
189 |
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7.9% |
121 |
129 |
139 |
152 |
167 |
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DCF Intrinsic Value |
$155 |
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8.4% |
111 |
118 |
127 |
136 |
148 |
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Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
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