| Intrinsic Valuation of: NTNX | |||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF (FCF/Revenue) | |||||||||
| 2020 | - | - | EPS (FY) | 0 | Market Cap | $20B | |||||
| 2021 | - | - (-) | P/E Ratio | inf | Total Asset | $2B | |||||
| 2022 | $-158M | - (-) | Net Income | $-125M | Total Debt | $570M | |||||
| 2023 | $18M | 111.7% (110.3%) | EBITDA | $141M | Total Liab | $3B | |||||
| 2024 | $207M | 1019.8% (850.2%) | Opr Margin | 0.00 | Debt/Equity | -0.78 | |||||
| 2025 | $598M | 188.7% (150.3%) | PreTax Margin | -7.53 | BV/Share | -3 | |||||
| 5Y Average FCF | $166M | 440.1% (370.3%) | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.0 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.5% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.4% | ||||||||
| Discount Rate (WACC): | 7.4% | Current US Bond Yield: | 3.5% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection (25.0%) | ||||||||||
| 2026 | $747M | MBG Intrinsic Value | $0 | ||||||||
| 2027 | $934M | ||||||||||
| 2028 | $1B | ||||||||||
| 2029 | $1B | ||||||||||
| 2030 | $2B | ||||||||||
| 2031 | $2B | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | $47B | Net Worth/Share | $-3 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | $37B | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | $655M | $139 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | $570M | WACC | 7.3% | 121 | 130 | 142 | 156 | 174 | |||
| Equity Value | $37B | 7.4% | 120 | 129 | 140 | 154 | 172 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 268,076,992 | 7.4% | 119 | 128 | 139 | 152 | 170 | ||||
| 7.9% | 108 | 116 | 125 | 136 | 149 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | $139 | 8.4% | 100 | 106 | 113 | 122 | 133 | ||||
| Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) | |||||||||||