| Intrinsic Valuation of: NTNX | |||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF (FCF/Revenue) | |||||||||
| 2020 | - | - | EPS (FY) | 1 | Market Cap | $12B | |||||
| 2021 | - | - (-) | P/E Ratio | 50 | Total Asset | $3B | |||||
| 2022 | $18M | - (-) | Net Income | $188M | Total Debt | $1B | |||||
| 2023 | $207M | 1019.8% (850.2%) | EBITDA | $293M | Total Liab | $4B | |||||
| 2024 | $598M | 188.7% (150.3%) | Opr Margin | 6.80 | Debt/Equity | -1.93 | |||||
| 2025 | $750M | 25.5% (6.3%) | PreTax Margin | 6.47 | BV/Share | -3 | |||||
| 5Y Average FCF | $393M | 15.0% (335.6%) | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.0 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.48% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.40% | ||||||||
| Discount Rate (WACC): | 7.00% | Current US Bond Yield: | 3.48% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection (15.0%) | ||||||||||
| 2026 | $740M | MBG Intrinsic Value | $8 | ||||||||
| 2027 | $832M | ||||||||||
| 2028 | $915M | ||||||||||
| 2029 | $984M | ||||||||||
| 2030 | $1B | ||||||||||
| 2031 | $1B | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | $24B | Net Worth/Share | $-3 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | $20B | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | $770M | $73 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | $1B | WACC | 6.5% | 69 | 75 | 83 | 93 | 107 | |||
| Equity Value | $20B | 7.1% | 61 | 66 | 71 | 79 | 88 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 269,348,886 | 7.8% | 54 | 58 | 62 | 68 | 74 | ||||
| 8.4% | 49 | 52 | 55 | 60 | 65 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | $73 | 9.0% | 45 | 47 | 50 | 53 | 57 | ||||
| Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) | |||||||||||