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Intrinsic Valuation of: NFLX |
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Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
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Key Statistics |
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Year |
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FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
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2020 |
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- |
- |
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EPS (FY) |
24 |
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Market Cap |
$513B |
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2021 |
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- |
- (-) |
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P/E Ratio |
51 |
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Total Asset |
$54B |
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2022 |
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$-132M |
- (-) |
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Net Income |
$9B |
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Total Debt |
$14B |
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2023 |
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$2B |
1326.4% (1252.0%) |
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EBITDA |
$26B |
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Total Liab |
$29B |
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2024 |
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$7B |
327.9% (301.2%) |
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Opr Margin |
0.27 |
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Debt/Equity |
0.56 |
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2025 |
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$7B |
-0.1% (-13.6%) |
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PreTax Margin |
24.87 |
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BV/Share |
-18 |
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5Y Average FCF |
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$4B |
551.4% (513.2%) |
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Overall Market Assumptions: |
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Assumptions: |
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P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
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Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
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Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
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Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
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Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
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Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
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Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
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Year |
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FCF Projection (25.0%) |
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2026 |
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$9B |
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MBG Intrinsic Value |
$210 |
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2027 |
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$11B |
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2028 |
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$14B |
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2029 |
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$17B |
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2030 |
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$21B |
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2031 |
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$26B |
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Terminal Value |
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$549B |
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Net Worth/Share |
$58 |
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DCF Valuation |
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DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
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Enterprise Value |
$430B |
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Growth Rate |
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(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
$8B |
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$998 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
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(-) Total Debt |
$14B |
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WACC |
7.3% |
866 |
936 |
1,021 |
1,125 |
1,257 |
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Equity Value |
$424B |
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7.4% |
858 |
926 |
1,009 |
1,111 |
1,239 |
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Shares Outstanding |
424,926,016 |
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7.4% |
849 |
917 |
998 |
1,097 |
1,222 |
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7.9% |
775 |
831 |
897 |
976 |
1,073 |
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DCF Intrinsic Value |
$998 |
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8.4% |
711 |
758 |
812 |
877 |
954 |
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Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
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