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Intrinsic Valuation of: MSFT |
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Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
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Key Statistics |
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Year |
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FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
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2020 |
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- |
- |
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EPS (FY) |
14 |
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Market Cap |
$3,766B |
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2021 |
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- |
- (-) |
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P/E Ratio |
37 |
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Total Asset |
$619B |
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2022 |
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$65B |
- (-) |
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Net Income |
$102B |
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Total Debt |
$40B |
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2023 |
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$59B |
-8.7% (-14.6%) |
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EBITDA |
$160B |
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Total Liab |
$276B |
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2024 |
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$74B |
24.5% (7.7%) |
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Opr Margin |
0.46 |
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Debt/Equity |
0.12 |
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2025 |
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$72B |
-3.3% (-15.9%) |
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PreTax Margin |
44.78 |
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BV/Share |
27 |
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5Y Average FCF |
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$68B |
4.2% (-7.6%) |
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Overall Market Assumptions: |
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Assumptions: |
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P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
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Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
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Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
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Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
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Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
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Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
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Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
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Year |
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FCF Projection (4.2%) |
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2026 |
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$75B |
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MBG Intrinsic Value |
$122 |
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2027 |
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$78B |
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2028 |
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$81B |
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2029 |
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$84B |
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2030 |
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$88B |
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2031 |
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$92B |
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Terminal Value |
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$1,902B |
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Net Worth/Share |
$46 |
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DCF Valuation |
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DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
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Enterprise Value |
$1,624B |
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Growth Rate |
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(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
$30B |
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$217 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
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(-) Total Debt |
$40B |
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WACC |
7.3% |
191 |
205 |
222 |
242 |
268 |
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Equity Value |
$1,614B |
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7.4% |
189 |
203 |
219 |
240 |
265 |
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Shares Outstanding |
7,433,169,920 |
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7.4% |
188 |
201 |
217 |
237 |
262 |
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7.9% |
173 |
184 |
197 |
213 |
232 |
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DCF Intrinsic Value |
$217 |
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8.4% |
160 |
169 |
180 |
193 |
208 |
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Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
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