| Intrinsic Valuation of: MNST | |||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF (FCF/Revenue) | |||||||||
| 2020 | - | - | EPS (FY) | 2 | Market Cap | $62B | |||||
| 2021 | - | - (-) | P/E Ratio | 42 | Total Asset | $8B | |||||
| 2022 | $1B | - (-) | Net Income | $2B | Total Debt | $374M | |||||
| 2023 | $676M | -38.5% (-46.0%) | EBITDA | $2B | Total Liab | $2B | |||||
| 2024 | $1B | 119.5% (94.0%) | Opr Margin | 0.26 | Debt/Equity | 0.06 | |||||
| 2025 | $2B | 9.4% (4.2%) | PreTax Margin | 25.76 | BV/Share | 3 | |||||
| 5Y Average FCF | $1B | 30.1% (17.4%) | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.0 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.5% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.4% | ||||||||
| Discount Rate (WACC): | 7.4% | Current US Bond Yield: | 3.5% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection (25.0%) | ||||||||||
| 2026 | $2B | MBG Intrinsic Value | $14 | ||||||||
| 2027 | $3B | ||||||||||
| 2028 | $3B | ||||||||||
| 2029 | $4B | ||||||||||
| 2030 | $5B | ||||||||||
| 2031 | $6B | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | $129B | Net Worth/Share | $6 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | $101B | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | $2B | $105 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | $374M | WACC | 7.3% | 91 | 98 | 107 | 118 | 131 | |||
| Equity Value | $102B | 7.4% | 90 | 97 | 106 | 116 | 129 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 975,246,016 | 7.4% | 89 | 96 | 105 | 115 | 127 | ||||
| 7.9% | 82 | 87 | 94 | 102 | 112 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | $105 | 8.4% | 75 | 80 | 86 | 92 | 100 | ||||
| Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) | |||||||||||