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Intrinsic Valuation of: META |
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Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
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Key Statistics |
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Year |
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FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
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2020 |
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- |
- |
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EPS (FY) |
26 |
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Market Cap |
$1,808B |
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2021 |
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- |
- (-) |
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P/E Ratio |
28 |
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Total Asset |
$276B |
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2022 |
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$39B |
- (-) |
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Net Income |
$62B |
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Total Debt |
$29B |
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2023 |
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$19B |
-50.5% (-50.0%) |
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EBITDA |
$87B |
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Total Liab |
$93B |
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2024 |
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$44B |
128.5% (97.5%) |
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Opr Margin |
0.42 |
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Debt/Equity |
0.16 |
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2025 |
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$54B |
22.7% (0.6%) |
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PreTax Margin |
41.74 |
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BV/Share |
74 |
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5Y Average FCF |
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$39B |
33.5% (16.0%) |
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Overall Market Assumptions: |
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Assumptions: |
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P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
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Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
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Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
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Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
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Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
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Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
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Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
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Year |
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FCF Projection (25.0%) |
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2026 |
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$68B |
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MBG Intrinsic Value |
$229 |
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2027 |
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$84B |
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2028 |
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$106B |
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2029 |
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$132B |
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2030 |
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$165B |
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2031 |
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$206B |
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Terminal Value |
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$4,289B |
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Net Worth/Share |
$84 |
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DCF Valuation |
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DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
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Enterprise Value |
$3,360B |
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Growth Rate |
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(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
$44B |
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$1,554 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
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(-) Total Debt |
$29B |
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WACC |
7.3% |
1,352 |
1,460 |
1,589 |
1,749 |
1,950 |
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Equity Value |
$3,375B |
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7.4% |
1,340 |
1,445 |
1,572 |
1,727 |
1,923 |
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Shares Outstanding |
2,171,150,080 |
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7.4% |
1,327 |
1,430 |
1,554 |
1,706 |
1,897 |
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7.9% |
1,213 |
1,298 |
1,399 |
1,520 |
1,669 |
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DCF Intrinsic Value |
$1,554 |
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8.4% |
1,116 |
1,187 |
1,271 |
1,369 |
1,487 |
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Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
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