| Intrinsic Valuation of: MDB | |||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF (FCF/Revenue) | |||||||||
| 2021 | - | - | EPS (FY) | -1 | Market Cap | $25B | |||||
| 2022 | - | - (-) | P/E Ratio | - | Total Asset | $4B | |||||
| 2023 | $-20M | - (-) | Net Income | $-71M | Total Debt | $0 | |||||
| 2024 | $115M | 670.9% (535.6%) | EBITDA | $-15M | Total Liab | $806M | |||||
| 2025 | $121M | 4.5% (-12.3%) | Opr Margin | -5.56 | Debt/Equity | - | |||||
| 2026 | $500M | 314.6% (237.6%) | PreTax Margin | -5.69 | BV/Share | 34 | |||||
| 5Y Average FCF | $179M | 15.0% (253.6%) | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.0 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.48% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.40% | ||||||||
| Discount Rate (WACC): | 11.65% | Current US Bond Yield: | 3.48% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection (15.0%) | ||||||||||
| 2027 | $487M | MBG Intrinsic Value | $-8 | ||||||||
| 2028 | $548M | ||||||||||
| 2029 | $603M | ||||||||||
| 2030 | $648M | ||||||||||
| 2031 | $680M | ||||||||||
| 2032 | $697M | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | $8B | Net Worth/Share | $37 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | $6B | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | $1B | $94 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | $0 | WACC | 9.7% | 108 | 113 | 118 | 123 | 130 | |||
| Equity Value | $8B | 10.7% | 98 | 101 | 105 | 109 | 114 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 80,369,527 | 11.7% | 89 | 92 | 94 | 98 | 101 | ||||
| 12.7% | 82 | 84 | 86 | 89 | 91 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | $94 | 13.7% | 76 | 78 | 79 | 81 | 84 | ||||
| Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) | |||||||||||