| Intrinsic Valuation of: MDB | |||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF (FCF/Revenue) | |||||||||
| 2020 | - | - | EPS (FY) | -1 | Market Cap | $17B | |||||
| 2021 | - | - (-) | P/E Ratio | - | Total Asset | $3B | |||||
| 2022 | $-1M | - (-) | Net Income | $-129M | Total Debt | $0 | |||||
| 2023 | $-20M | -1751.1% (-1159.7%) | EBITDA | $-97M | Total Liab | $648M | |||||
| 2024 | $115M | 670.9% (535.6%) | Opr Margin | -0.11 | Debt/Equity | - | |||||
| 2025 | $121M | 4.5% (-12.3%) | PreTax Margin | -11.17 | BV/Share | 33 | |||||
| 5Y Average FCF | $54M | -358.6% (-212.1%) | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.0 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.5% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.4% | ||||||||
| Discount Rate (WACC): | 7.4% | Current US Bond Yield: | 3.5% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection (4.0%) | ||||||||||
| 2026 | $125M | MBG Intrinsic Value | $-10 | ||||||||
| 2027 | $130M | ||||||||||
| 2028 | $136M | ||||||||||
| 2029 | $141M | ||||||||||
| 2030 | $147M | ||||||||||
| 2031 | $153M | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | $3B | Net Worth/Share | $34 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | $3B | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | $490M | $39 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | $0 | WACC | 7.3% | 35 | 37 | 40 | 43 | 47 | |||
| Equity Value | $3B | 7.4% | 35 | 37 | 40 | 43 | 46 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 81,714,304 | 7.4% | 35 | 37 | 39 | 42 | 46 | ||||
| 7.9% | 32 | 34 | 36 | 38 | 41 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | $39 | 8.4% | 31 | 32 | 34 | 35 | 38 | ||||
| Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) | |||||||||||