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Intrinsic Valuation of: MCHPP |
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Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
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Key Statistics |
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Year |
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FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
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2020 |
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- |
- |
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EPS (FY) |
- |
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Market Cap |
- |
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2021 |
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- |
- (-) |
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P/E Ratio |
- |
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Total Asset |
$15B |
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2022 |
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$2B |
- (-) |
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Net Income |
$-500,000 |
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Total Debt |
$6B |
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2023 |
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$3B |
26.8% (2.5%) |
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EBITDA |
$1B |
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Total Liab |
$8B |
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2024 |
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$3B |
-16.8% (-8.1%) |
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Opr Margin |
0.09 |
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Debt/Equity |
0.80 |
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2025 |
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$772M |
-70.4% (-48.6%) |
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PreTax Margin |
2.82 |
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BV/Share |
- |
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5Y Average FCF |
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$2B |
-20.1% (-18.1%) |
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Overall Market Assumptions: |
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Assumptions: |
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P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
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Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
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Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
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Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
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Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
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Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
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Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
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Year |
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FCF Projection (4.0%) |
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2026 |
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$803M |
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MBG Intrinsic Value |
- |
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2027 |
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$835M |
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2028 |
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$869M |
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2029 |
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$903M |
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2030 |
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$939M |
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2031 |
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$977M |
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Terminal Value |
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$20B |
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Net Worth/Share |
- |
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DCF Valuation |
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DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
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Enterprise Value |
$17B |
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Growth Rate |
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(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
$772M |
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$12B |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
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(-) Total Debt |
$6B |
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WACC |
7.3% |
10,422,199,428 |
11,525,876,910 |
12,858,059,048 |
14,497,904,496 |
16,565,908,024 |
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Equity Value |
$12B |
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7.4% |
10,290,216,851 |
11,371,817,633 |
12,675,057,920 |
14,275,841,652 |
16,289,198,510 |
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Shares Outstanding |
- |
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7.4% |
10,160,464,300 |
11,220,599,344 |
12,495,771,923 |
14,058,793,842 |
16,019,531,262 |
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7.9% |
8,974,142,841 |
9,848,858,782 |
10,884,664,214 |
12,130,572,168 |
13,657,723,452 |
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DCF Intrinsic Value |
$12B |
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8.4% |
7,959,368,813 |
8,690,763,997 |
9,545,497,323 |
10,557,640,101 |
11,775,085,674 |
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Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
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