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Intrinsic Valuation of: LRCX |
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Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
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Key Statistics |
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Year |
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FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
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2020 |
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- |
- |
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EPS (FY) |
4 |
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Market Cap |
$127B |
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2021 |
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- |
- (-) |
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P/E Ratio |
24 |
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Total Asset |
$21B |
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2022 |
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$3B |
- (-) |
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Net Income |
$5B |
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Total Debt |
$4B |
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2023 |
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$5B |
83.2% (81.0%) |
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EBITDA |
$7B |
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Total Liab |
$11B |
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2024 |
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$4B |
-9.0% (6.4%) |
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Opr Margin |
0.32 |
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Debt/Equity |
0.38 |
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2025 |
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$5B |
27.2% (2.9%) |
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PreTax Margin |
31.04 |
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BV/Share |
6 |
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5Y Average FCF |
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$4B |
33.8% (30.1%) |
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Overall Market Assumptions: |
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Assumptions: |
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P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
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Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
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Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
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Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
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Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
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Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
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Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
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Year |
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FCF Projection (25.0%) |
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2026 |
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$7B |
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MBG Intrinsic Value |
$37 |
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2027 |
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$8B |
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2028 |
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$11B |
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2029 |
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$13B |
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2030 |
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$17B |
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2031 |
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$21B |
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Terminal Value |
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$429B |
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Net Worth/Share |
$8 |
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DCF Valuation |
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DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
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Enterprise Value |
$336B |
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Growth Rate |
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(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
$6B |
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$268 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
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(-) Total Debt |
$4B |
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WACC |
7.3% |
233 |
252 |
274 |
301 |
336 |
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Equity Value |
$339B |
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7.4% |
231 |
249 |
271 |
298 |
331 |
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Shares Outstanding |
1,265,619,968 |
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7.4% |
229 |
247 |
268 |
294 |
327 |
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7.9% |
209 |
224 |
241 |
262 |
288 |
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DCF Intrinsic Value |
$268 |
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8.4% |
193 |
205 |
219 |
236 |
256 |
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Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
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