|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Intrinsic Valuation of: INTU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
|
Key Statistics |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2020 |
|
- |
- |
|
EPS (FY) |
12 |
|
Market Cap |
$217B |
|
|
2021 |
|
- |
- (-) |
|
P/E Ratio |
63 |
|
Total Asset |
$32B |
|
|
2022 |
|
$3B |
- (-) |
|
Net Income |
$3B |
|
Total Debt |
$6B |
|
|
2023 |
|
$4B |
17.1% (-11.3%) |
|
EBITDA |
$5B |
|
Total Liab |
$14B |
|
|
2024 |
|
$5B |
30.8% (15.8%) |
|
Opr Margin |
0.24 |
|
Debt/Equity |
0.30 |
|
|
2025 |
|
$5B |
-3.2% (-14.6%) |
|
PreTax Margin |
22.32 |
|
BV/Share |
-4 |
|
|
5Y Average FCF |
|
$4B |
14.9% (-3.4%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Overall Market Assumptions: |
|
|
Assumptions: |
|
|
|
P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
|
|
|
Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
|
|
|
Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
|
|
|
Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
|
|
|
Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
|
Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF Projection (14.9%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2026 |
|
$5B |
|
|
MBG Intrinsic Value |
$110 |
|
|
2027 |
|
$6B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2028 |
|
$7B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2029 |
|
$8B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2030 |
|
$9B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2031 |
|
$11B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Terminal Value |
|
$222B |
|
|
Net Worth/Share |
$66 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DCF Valuation |
|
DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Enterprise Value |
$180B |
|
|
|
Growth Rate |
|
|
(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
$4B |
|
|
$637 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
|
|
(-) Total Debt |
$6B |
|
WACC |
7.3% |
556 |
599 |
651 |
715 |
796 |
|
|
Equity Value |
$178B |
|
7.4% |
551 |
593 |
644 |
707 |
786 |
|
|
Shares Outstanding |
278,947,008 |
|
7.4% |
546 |
587 |
637 |
698 |
775 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.9% |
500 |
534 |
574 |
623 |
683 |
|
|
DCF Intrinsic Value |
$637 |
|
8.4% |
460 |
489 |
522 |
562 |
610 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|