| Intrinsic Valuation of: HOOD | |||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF (FCF/Revenue) | |||||||||
| 2020 | - | - | EPS (FY) | 2 | Market Cap | $69B | |||||
| 2021 | - | - (-) | P/E Ratio | 37 | Total Asset | $38B | |||||
| 2022 | $-909M | - (-) | Net Income | $2B | Total Debt | $0 | |||||
| 2023 | $1B | 227.6% (192.9%) | EBITDA | $2B | Total Liab | $29B | |||||
| 2024 | $-207M | -117.8% (-111.3%) | Opr Margin | 46.81 | Debt/Equity | - | |||||
| 2025 | $2B | 865.2% (604.8%) | PreTax Margin | 46.81 | BV/Share | 11 | |||||
| 5Y Average FCF | $407M | 15.0% (228.8%) | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.0 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.48% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.40% | ||||||||
| Discount Rate (WACC): | 14.00% | Current US Bond Yield: | 3.48% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection (15.0%) | ||||||||||
| 2026 | $2B | MBG Intrinsic Value | $19 | ||||||||
| 2027 | $2B | ||||||||||
| 2028 | $2B | ||||||||||
| 2029 | $2B | ||||||||||
| 2030 | $2B | ||||||||||
| 2031 | $3B | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | $22B | Net Worth/Share | $12 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | $18B | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | $4B | $29 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | $0 | WACC | 12.0% | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | |||
| Equity Value | $23B | 12.5% | 31 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 791,184,698 | 13.0% | 30 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | ||||
| 13.5% | 29 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 31 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | $29 | 14.0% | 28 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 30 | ||||
| Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) | |||||||||||