| Intrinsic Valuation of: HOLX | |||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF (FCF/Revenue) | |||||||||
| 2020 | - | - | EPS (FY) | 2 | Market Cap | $17B | |||||
| 2021 | - | - (-) | P/E Ratio | 32 | Total Asset | $9B | |||||
| 2022 | $2B | - (-) | Net Income | $566M | Total Debt | $3B | |||||
| 2023 | $901M | -54.9% (-45.6%) | EBITDA | $1B | Total Liab | $4B | |||||
| 2024 | $1B | 27.1% (27.1%) | Opr Margin | 19.15 | Debt/Equity | 0.50 | |||||
| 2025 | $905M | -21.0% (-22.3%) | PreTax Margin | 16.30 | BV/Share | 4 | |||||
| 5Y Average FCF | $1B | -2.0% (-13.6%) | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.0 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 1.00% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.40% | ||||||||
| Discount Rate (WACC): | 7.00% | Current US Bond Yield: | 3.48% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection (-2.0%) | ||||||||||
| 2026 | $984M | MBG Intrinsic Value | $22 | ||||||||
| 2027 | $971M | ||||||||||
| 2028 | $963M | ||||||||||
| 2029 | $961M | ||||||||||
| 2030 | $965M | ||||||||||
| 2031 | $974M | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | $16B | Net Worth/Share | $23 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | $16B | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | $2B | $67 | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | $3B | WACC | 6.5% | 74 | 76 | 79 | 83 | 86 | |||
| Equity Value | $15B | 7.1% | 66 | 68 | 70 | 73 | 76 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 223,244,905 | 7.8% | 60 | 61 | 63 | 65 | 67 | ||||
| 8.4% | 54 | 56 | 57 | 59 | 60 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | $67 | 9.0% | 50 | 51 | 52 | 54 | 55 | ||||
| Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) | |||||||||||