| Intrinsic Valuation of: HOLX | |||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF (FCF/Revenue) | |||||||||
| 2020 | - | - | EPS (FY) | 2 | Market Cap | $15B | |||||
| 2021 | - | - (-) | P/E Ratio | 27 | Total Asset | $9B | |||||
| 2022 | $2B | - (-) | Net Income | $790M | Total Debt | $2B | |||||
| 2023 | $2B | -6.9% (7.9%) | EBITDA | $1B | Total Liab | $4B | |||||
| 2024 | $901M | -54.9% (-45.6%) | Opr Margin | 0.23 | Debt/Equity | 0.49 | |||||
| 2025 | $1B | 27.1% (27.1%) | PreTax Margin | 20.07 | BV/Share | 4 | |||||
| 5Y Average FCF | $2B | -11.6% (-3.5%) | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.0 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.5% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.4% | ||||||||
| Discount Rate (WACC): | 7.4% | Current US Bond Yield: | 3.5% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection (4.0%) | ||||||||||
| 2026 | $1B | MBG Intrinsic Value | $21 | ||||||||
| 2027 | $1B | ||||||||||
| 2028 | $1B | ||||||||||
| 2029 | $1B | ||||||||||
| 2030 | $1B | ||||||||||
| 2031 | $1B | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | $30B | Net Worth/Share | $23 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | $26B | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | $2B | $114 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | $2B | WACC | 7.3% | 100 | 108 | 116 | 127 | 141 | |||
| Equity Value | $25B | 7.4% | 99 | 106 | 115 | 126 | 139 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 222,844,992 | 7.4% | 98 | 105 | 114 | 124 | 137 | ||||
| 7.9% | 91 | 96 | 103 | 112 | 122 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | $114 | 8.4% | 84 | 89 | 94 | 101 | 109 | ||||
| Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) | |||||||||||