| Intrinsic Valuation of: FTAI | |||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF (FCF/Revenue) | |||||||||
| 2020 | - | - | EPS (FY) | 5 | Market Cap | $24B | |||||
| 2021 | - | - (-) | P/E Ratio | 47 | Total Asset | $4B | |||||
| 2022 | $-834M | - (-) | Net Income | $501M | Total Debt | $3B | |||||
| 2023 | $-648M | 22.3% (53.0%) | EBITDA | $1B | Total Liab | $4B | |||||
| 2024 | $-1B | -107.5% (-40.1%) | Opr Margin | 30.70 | Debt/Equity | 10.32 | |||||
| 2025 | $-997M | 25.8% (48.7%) | PreTax Margin | 20.82 | BV/Share | 2 | |||||
| 5Y Average FCF | $-956M | 2.5% (20.5%) | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.0 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.48% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.40% | ||||||||
| Discount Rate (WACC): | 11.36% | Current US Bond Yield: | 3.48% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection (2.5%) | ||||||||||
| 2026 | $0 | MBG Intrinsic Value | $45 | ||||||||
| 2027 | $0 | ||||||||||
| 2028 | $0 | ||||||||||
| 2029 | $0 | ||||||||||
| 2030 | $0 | ||||||||||
| 2031 | $0 | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | $0 | Net Worth/Share | $3 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | $0 | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | $300M | $-31 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | $3B | WACC | 9.4% | -31 | -31 | -31 | -31 | -31 | |||
| Equity Value | $-3B | 10.4% | -31 | -31 | -31 | -31 | -31 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 102,582,972 | 11.4% | -31 | -31 | -31 | -31 | -31 | ||||
| 12.4% | -31 | -31 | -31 | -31 | -31 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | $-31 | 13.4% | -31 | -31 | -31 | -31 | -31 | ||||
| Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) | |||||||||||