|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Intrinsic Valuation of: FITBP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
|
Key Statistics |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2020 |
|
- |
- |
|
EPS (FY) |
3 |
|
Market Cap |
- |
|
|
2021 |
|
- |
- (-) |
|
P/E Ratio |
7 |
|
Total Asset |
$213B |
|
|
2022 |
|
$2B |
- (-) |
|
Net Income |
$2B |
|
Total Debt |
$14B |
|
|
2023 |
|
$6B |
139.8% (122.2%) |
|
EBITDA |
- |
|
Total Liab |
$193B |
|
|
2024 |
|
$4B |
-30.5% (-33.1%) |
|
Opr Margin |
- |
|
Debt/Equity |
0.73 |
|
|
2025 |
|
$2B |
-39.6% (-38.4%) |
|
PreTax Margin |
- |
|
BV/Share |
- |
|
|
5Y Average FCF |
|
$4B |
23.2% (16.9%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Overall Market Assumptions: |
|
|
Assumptions: |
|
|
|
P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
|
|
|
Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
|
|
|
Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
|
|
|
Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
|
|
|
Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
|
Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF Projection (23.2%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2026 |
|
$3B |
|
|
MBG Intrinsic Value |
$31 |
|
|
2027 |
|
$4B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2028 |
|
$5B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2029 |
|
$6B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2030 |
|
$7B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2031 |
|
$8B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Terminal Value |
|
$175B |
|
|
Net Worth/Share |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DCF Valuation |
|
DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Enterprise Value |
$138B |
|
|
|
Growth Rate |
|
|
(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
$3B |
|
|
$127B |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
|
|
(-) Total Debt |
$14B |
|
WACC |
7.3% |
108,872,091,919 |
118,403,968,773 |
129,909,319,096 |
144,071,794,206 |
161,932,043,495 |
|
|
Equity Value |
$127B |
|
7.4% |
107,745,413,171 |
117,086,625,280 |
128,342,020,198 |
142,167,139,983 |
159,555,434,971 |
|
|
Shares Outstanding |
- |
|
7.4% |
106,637,968,987 |
115,793,792,906 |
126,806,781,920 |
140,305,772,968 |
157,239,621,790 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.9% |
96,522,577,409 |
104,077,034,903 |
113,022,736,870 |
123,782,982,848 |
136,972,178,255 |
|
|
DCF Intrinsic Value |
$127B |
|
8.4% |
87,886,320,299 |
94,202,992,457 |
101,584,870,712 |
110,326,210,892 |
120,840,642,387 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|