|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Intrinsic Valuation of: EA |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
|
Key Statistics |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2020 |
|
- |
- |
|
EPS (FY) |
4 |
|
Market Cap |
$40B |
|
|
2021 |
|
- |
- (-) |
|
P/E Ratio |
37 |
|
Total Asset |
$12B |
|
|
2022 |
|
$2B |
- (-) |
|
Net Income |
$1B |
|
Total Debt |
$1B |
|
|
2023 |
|
$1B |
-21.5% (-26.1%) |
|
EBITDA |
$2B |
|
Total Liab |
$6B |
|
|
2024 |
|
$2B |
57.6% (54.7%) |
|
Opr Margin |
0.21 |
|
Debt/Equity |
0.23 |
|
|
2025 |
|
$2B |
-12.2% (-11.0%) |
|
PreTax Margin |
20.35 |
|
BV/Share |
3 |
|
|
5Y Average FCF |
|
$2B |
8.0% (5.9%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Overall Market Assumptions: |
|
|
Assumptions: |
|
|
|
P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
|
|
|
Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
|
|
|
Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
|
|
|
Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
|
|
|
Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
|
Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF Projection (8.0%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2026 |
|
$2B |
|
|
MBG Intrinsic Value |
$38 |
|
|
2027 |
|
$2B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2028 |
|
$2B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2029 |
|
$3B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2030 |
|
$3B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2031 |
|
$3B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Terminal Value |
|
$61B |
|
|
Net Worth/Share |
$25 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DCF Valuation |
|
DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Enterprise Value |
$51B |
|
|
|
Growth Rate |
|
|
(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
$2B |
|
|
$206 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
|
|
(-) Total Debt |
$1B |
|
WACC |
7.3% |
181 |
194 |
210 |
230 |
255 |
|
|
Equity Value |
$52B |
|
7.4% |
180 |
193 |
208 |
227 |
251 |
|
|
Shares Outstanding |
251,272,000 |
|
7.4% |
178 |
191 |
206 |
225 |
248 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.9% |
164 |
174 |
187 |
202 |
220 |
|
|
DCF Intrinsic Value |
$206 |
|
8.4% |
152 |
161 |
171 |
183 |
197 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|