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Intrinsic Valuation of: CRDO |
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Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
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Key Statistics |
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Year |
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FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
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2020 |
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- |
- |
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EPS (FY) |
0 |
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Market Cap |
$21B |
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2021 |
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- |
- (-) |
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P/E Ratio |
424 |
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Total Asset |
$809M |
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2022 |
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$-48M |
- (-) |
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Net Income |
$52M |
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Total Debt |
$0 |
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2023 |
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$-46M |
4.3% (44.7%) |
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EBITDA |
$60M |
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Total Liab |
$128M |
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2024 |
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$17M |
136.9% (135.2%) |
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Opr Margin |
0.09 |
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Debt/Equity |
- |
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2025 |
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$29M |
69.9% (-25.0%) |
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PreTax Margin |
8.70 |
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BV/Share |
4 |
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5Y Average FCF |
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$-12M |
70.4% (51.6%) |
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Overall Market Assumptions: |
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Assumptions: |
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P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
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Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
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Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
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Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
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Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
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Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
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Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
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Year |
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FCF Projection (25.0%) |
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2026 |
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$36M |
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MBG Intrinsic Value |
$3 |
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2027 |
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$45M |
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2028 |
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$57M |
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2029 |
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$71M |
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2030 |
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$89M |
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2031 |
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$111M |
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Terminal Value |
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$2B |
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Net Worth/Share |
$4 |
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DCF Valuation |
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DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
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Enterprise Value |
$2B |
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Growth Rate |
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(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
$236M |
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$12 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
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(-) Total Debt |
$0 |
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WACC |
7.3% |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
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Equity Value |
$2B |
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7.4% |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
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Shares Outstanding |
172,974,000 |
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7.4% |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
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7.9% |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
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DCF Intrinsic Value |
$12 |
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8.4% |
9 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
11 |
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Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
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