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Intrinsic Valuation of: CEG |
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Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
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Key Statistics |
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Year |
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FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
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2020 |
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- |
- |
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EPS (FY) |
10 |
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Market Cap |
$96B |
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2021 |
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- |
- (-) |
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P/E Ratio |
32 |
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Total Asset |
$53B |
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2022 |
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$-3B |
- (-) |
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Net Income |
$4B |
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Total Debt |
$7B |
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2023 |
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$-4B |
-51.6% (-21.8%) |
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EBITDA |
$7B |
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Total Liab |
$39B |
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2024 |
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$-8B |
-91.1% (-87.4%) |
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Opr Margin |
0.21 |
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Debt/Equity |
0.55 |
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2025 |
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$-5B |
34.9% (31.2%) |
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PreTax Margin |
18.42 |
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BV/Share |
41 |
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5Y Average FCF |
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$-5B |
-35.9% (-26.0%) |
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Overall Market Assumptions: |
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Assumptions: |
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P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
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Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
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Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
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Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
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Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
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Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
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Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
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Year |
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FCF Projection (4.0%) |
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2026 |
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$-5B |
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MBG Intrinsic Value |
$86 |
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2027 |
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$-5B |
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2028 |
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$-5B |
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2029 |
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$-6B |
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2030 |
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$-6B |
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2031 |
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$-6B |
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Terminal Value |
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$-128B |
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Net Worth/Share |
$43 |
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DCF Valuation |
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DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
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Enterprise Value |
$-109B |
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Growth Rate |
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(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
$3B |
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$-364 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
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(-) Total Debt |
$7B |
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WACC |
7.3% |
-322 |
-344 |
-371 |
-404 |
-446 |
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Equity Value |
$-114B |
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7.4% |
-320 |
-341 |
-368 |
-400 |
-441 |
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Shares Outstanding |
312,406,016 |
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7.4% |
-317 |
-338 |
-364 |
-396 |
-435 |
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7.9% |
-293 |
-311 |
-332 |
-357 |
-387 |
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DCF Intrinsic Value |
$-364 |
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8.4% |
-273 |
-287 |
-304 |
-325 |
-349 |
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Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
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