|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Intrinsic Valuation of: BPYPP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
|
Key Statistics |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2020 |
|
- |
- |
|
EPS (FY) |
2 |
|
Market Cap |
$10B |
|
|
2021 |
|
- |
- (-) |
|
P/E Ratio |
7 |
|
Total Asset |
$103B |
|
|
2022 |
|
$450M |
- (-) |
|
Net Income |
$-510M |
|
Total Debt |
$36B |
|
|
2023 |
|
$-260M |
-157.8% (-155.7%) |
|
EBITDA |
$3B |
|
Total Liab |
$64B |
|
|
2024 |
|
$-1B |
-361.2% (-258.2%) |
|
Opr Margin |
0.38 |
|
Debt/Equity |
0.94 |
|
|
2025 |
|
$615M |
151.3% (153.4%) |
|
PreTax Margin |
-14.03 |
|
BV/Share |
- |
|
|
5Y Average FCF |
|
$-98M |
-122.5% (-86.8%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Overall Market Assumptions: |
|
|
Assumptions: |
|
|
|
P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
|
|
|
Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
|
|
|
Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
|
|
|
Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
|
|
|
Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
|
Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF Projection (4.0%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2026 |
|
$640M |
|
|
MBG Intrinsic Value |
$20 |
|
|
2027 |
|
$665M |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2028 |
|
$692M |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2029 |
|
$719M |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2030 |
|
$748M |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2031 |
|
$778M |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Terminal Value |
|
$16B |
|
|
Net Worth/Share |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DCF Valuation |
|
DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Enterprise Value |
$14B |
|
|
|
Growth Rate |
|
|
(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
$2B |
|
|
$-20B |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
|
|
(-) Total Debt |
$36B |
|
WACC |
7.3% |
-21,600,321,269 |
-20,721,210,206 |
-19,660,088,571 |
-18,353,904,203 |
-16,706,679,530 |
|
|
Equity Value |
$-20B |
|
7.4% |
-21,705,449,212 |
-20,843,922,880 |
-19,805,854,266 |
-18,530,783,686 |
-16,927,086,668 |
|
|
Shares Outstanding |
0 |
|
7.4% |
-21,808,800,875 |
-20,964,372,625 |
-19,948,660,753 |
-18,703,668,550 |
-17,141,884,437 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.9% |
-22,753,740,257 |
-22,057,003,690 |
-21,231,954,680 |
-20,239,552,929 |
-19,023,132,725 |
|
|
DCF Intrinsic Value |
$-20B |
|
8.4% |
-23,562,037,145 |
-22,979,459,710 |
-22,298,639,874 |
-21,492,438,852 |
-20,522,708,212 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|