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Intrinsic Valuation of: AMAT |
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Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
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Key Statistics |
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Year |
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FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
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2020 |
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- |
- |
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EPS (FY) |
8 |
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Market Cap |
$128B |
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2021 |
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- |
- (-) |
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P/E Ratio |
19 |
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Total Asset |
$34B |
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2022 |
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$5B |
- (-) |
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Net Income |
$7B |
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Total Debt |
$5B |
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2023 |
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$5B |
-3.4% (-13.6%) |
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EBITDA |
$9B |
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Total Liab |
$15B |
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2024 |
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$8B |
64.7% (60.1%) |
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Opr Margin |
0.29 |
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Debt/Equity |
0.29 |
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2025 |
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$7B |
-1.4% (-3.8%) |
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PreTax Margin |
28.04 |
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BV/Share |
19 |
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5Y Average FCF |
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$6B |
20.0% (14.2%) |
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Overall Market Assumptions: |
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Assumptions: |
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P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
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Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
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Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
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Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
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Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
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Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
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Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
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Year |
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FCF Projection (20.0%) |
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2026 |
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$9B |
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MBG Intrinsic Value |
$75 |
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2027 |
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$11B |
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2028 |
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$13B |
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2029 |
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$16B |
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2030 |
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$19B |
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2031 |
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$22B |
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Terminal Value |
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$464B |
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Net Worth/Share |
$24 |
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DCF Valuation |
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DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
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Enterprise Value |
$369B |
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Growth Rate |
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(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
$8B |
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$466 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
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(-) Total Debt |
$5B |
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WACC |
7.3% |
407 |
438 |
477 |
524 |
583 |
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Equity Value |
$371B |
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7.4% |
403 |
434 |
471 |
517 |
575 |
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Shares Outstanding |
796,641,984 |
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7.4% |
399 |
430 |
466 |
511 |
567 |
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7.9% |
366 |
391 |
420 |
456 |
500 |
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DCF Intrinsic Value |
$466 |
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8.4% |
337 |
358 |
382 |
411 |
446 |
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Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
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