| Intrinsic Valuation of: ADSK | |||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF (FCF/Revenue) | |||||||||
| 2020 | - | - | EPS (FY) | 5 | Market Cap | $67B | |||||
| 2021 | - | - (-) | P/E Ratio | 67 | Total Asset | $11B | |||||
| 2022 | $1B | - (-) | Net Income | $1B | Total Debt | $2B | |||||
| 2023 | $2B | 38.3% (21.2%) | EBITDA | $2B | Total Liab | $8B | |||||
| 2024 | $1B | -38.2% (-43.7%) | Opr Margin | 0.22 | Debt/Equity | 0.76 | |||||
| 2025 | $2B | 20.2% (7.8%) | PreTax Margin | 22.33 | BV/Share | -10 | |||||
| 5Y Average FCF | $2B | 6.8% (-4.9%) | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.0 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.5% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.4% | ||||||||
| Discount Rate (WACC): | 7.4% | Current US Bond Yield: | 3.5% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection (6.8%) | ||||||||||
| 2026 | $2B | MBG Intrinsic Value | $42 | ||||||||
| 2027 | $2B | ||||||||||
| 2028 | $2B | ||||||||||
| 2029 | $2B | ||||||||||
| 2030 | $2B | ||||||||||
| 2031 | $2B | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | $46B | Net Worth/Share | $12 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | $39B | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | $2B | $181 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | $2B | WACC | 7.3% | 158 | 170 | 184 | 202 | 224 | |||
| Equity Value | $39B | 7.4% | 157 | 169 | 182 | 200 | 221 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 213,944,992 | 7.4% | 156 | 167 | 181 | 197 | 218 | ||||
| 7.9% | 143 | 152 | 163 | 177 | 193 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | $181 | 8.4% | 132 | 140 | 149 | 160 | 173 | ||||
| Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) | |||||||||||