| Intrinsic Valuation of: ADSK | |||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF (FCF/Revenue) | |||||||||
| 2021 | - | - | EPS (FY) | 5 | Market Cap | $50B | |||||
| 2022 | - | - (-) | P/E Ratio | 45 | Total Asset | $12B | |||||
| 2023 | $2B | - (-) | Net Income | $1B | Total Debt | $2B | |||||
| 2024 | $1B | -38.2% (-43.7%) | EBITDA | $2B | Total Liab | $9B | |||||
| 2025 | $2B | 20.2% (7.8%) | Opr Margin | 24.90 | Debt/Equity | 0.82 | |||||
| 2026 | $2B | 57.9% (34.3%) | PreTax Margin | 24.90 | BV/Share | -8 | |||||
| 5Y Average FCF | $2B | 13.1% (-0.5%) | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.0 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.48% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.40% | ||||||||
| Discount Rate (WACC): | 10.40% | Current US Bond Yield: | 3.48% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection (13.1%) | ||||||||||
| 2027 | $2B | MBG Intrinsic Value | $47 | ||||||||
| 2028 | $3B | ||||||||||
| 2029 | $3B | ||||||||||
| 2030 | $3B | ||||||||||
| 2031 | $3B | ||||||||||
| 2032 | $3B | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | $45B | Net Worth/Share | $14 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | $37B | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | $2B | $176 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | $2B | WACC | 8.4% | 211 | 223 | 238 | 254 | 275 | |||
| Equity Value | $37B | 9.4% | 183 | 192 | 202 | 214 | 228 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 211,145,251 | 10.4% | 162 | 169 | 176 | 185 | 194 | ||||
| 11.4% | 145 | 150 | 156 | 162 | 169 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | $176 | 12.4% | 131 | 135 | 140 | 145 | 150 | ||||
| Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) | |||||||||||