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Intrinsic Valuation of: ABNB |
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Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
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Key Statistics |
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Year |
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FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
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2020 |
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- |
- |
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EPS (FY) |
4 |
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Market Cap |
$80B |
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2021 |
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- |
- (-) |
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P/E Ratio |
32 |
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Total Asset |
$21B |
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2022 |
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$2B |
- (-) |
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Net Income |
$3B |
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Total Debt |
$2B |
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2023 |
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$3B |
48.3% (5.8%) |
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EBITDA |
$3B |
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Total Liab |
$13B |
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2024 |
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$4B |
13.2% (-4.1%) |
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Opr Margin |
0.23 |
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Debt/Equity |
0.24 |
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2025 |
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$5B |
16.3% (3.9%) |
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PreTax Margin |
23.00 |
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BV/Share |
18 |
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5Y Average FCF |
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$4B |
26.0% (1.9%) |
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Overall Market Assumptions: |
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Assumptions: |
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P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
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Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
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Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
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Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
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Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
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Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
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Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
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Year |
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FCF Projection (25.0%) |
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2026 |
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$6B |
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MBG Intrinsic Value |
$37 |
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2027 |
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$7B |
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2028 |
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$9B |
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2029 |
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$11B |
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2030 |
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$14B |
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2031 |
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$17B |
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Terminal Value |
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$358B |
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Net Worth/Share |
$20 |
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DCF Valuation |
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DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
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Enterprise Value |
$281B |
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Growth Rate |
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(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
$7B |
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$666 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
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(-) Total Debt |
$2B |
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WACC |
7.3% |
580 |
626 |
680 |
748 |
833 |
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Equity Value |
$286B |
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7.4% |
575 |
619 |
673 |
739 |
821 |
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Shares Outstanding |
429,080,000 |
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7.4% |
570 |
613 |
666 |
730 |
810 |
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7.9% |
521 |
557 |
600 |
651 |
714 |
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DCF Intrinsic Value |
$666 |
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8.4% |
480 |
510 |
546 |
587 |
637 |
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Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
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