|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Intrinsic Valuation of: TVSMOTOR |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
|
Key Statistics |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2020 |
|
- |
- |
|
EPS (FY) |
46 |
|
Market Cap |
₹1,386B |
|
|
2021 |
|
- |
- (-) |
|
P/E Ratio |
62 |
|
Total Asset |
₹479B |
|
|
2022 |
|
₹-25B |
- (-) |
|
Net Income |
₹22B |
|
Total Debt |
₹139B |
|
|
2023 |
|
₹-57B |
-125.8% (-75.5%) |
|
EBITDA |
₹66B |
|
Total Liab |
₹385B |
|
|
2024 |
|
₹-24B |
58.3% (70.5%) |
|
Opr Margin |
0.13 |
|
Debt/Equity |
1.48 |
|
|
2025 |
|
₹10B |
142.7% (137.6%) |
|
PreTax Margin |
7.96 |
|
BV/Share |
120 |
|
|
5Y Average FCF |
|
₹-24B |
25.1% (44.2%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Overall Market Assumptions: |
|
|
Assumptions: |
|
|
|
P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
|
|
|
Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
|
|
|
Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
|
|
|
Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
|
|
|
Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
|
Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF Projection (25.0%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2026 |
|
₹13B |
|
|
MBG Intrinsic Value |
₹414 |
|
|
2027 |
|
₹16B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2028 |
|
₹20B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2029 |
|
₹25B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2030 |
|
₹31B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2031 |
|
₹39B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Terminal Value |
|
₹813B |
|
|
Net Worth/Share |
₹199 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DCF Valuation |
|
DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Enterprise Value |
₹637B |
|
|
|
Growth Rate |
|
|
(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
₹41B |
|
|
₹1,134 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
|
|
(-) Total Debt |
₹139B |
|
WACC |
7.3% |
959 |
1,052 |
1,165 |
1,303 |
1,477 |
|
|
Equity Value |
₹539B |
|
7.4% |
948 |
1,040 |
1,149 |
1,284 |
1,454 |
|
|
Shares Outstanding |
474,736,000 |
|
7.4% |
938 |
1,027 |
1,134 |
1,266 |
1,432 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.9% |
839 |
913 |
1,000 |
1,105 |
1,234 |
|
|
DCF Intrinsic Value |
₹1,134 |
|
8.4% |
755 |
816 |
888 |
974 |
1,076 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|