|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Intrinsic Valuation of: TECHM |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
|
Key Statistics |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2020 |
|
- |
- |
|
EPS (FY) |
48 |
|
Market Cap |
₹1,493B |
|
|
2021 |
|
- |
- (-) |
|
P/E Ratio |
35 |
|
Total Asset |
₹445B |
|
|
2022 |
|
₹43B |
- (-) |
|
Net Income |
₹43B |
|
Total Debt |
₹0 |
|
|
2023 |
|
₹46B |
5.3% (-11.8%) |
|
EBITDA |
₹78B |
|
Total Liab |
₹167B |
|
|
2024 |
|
₹56B |
22.6% (25.6%) |
|
Opr Margin |
0.10 |
|
Debt/Equity |
- |
|
|
2025 |
|
₹52B |
-7.0% (-8.8%) |
|
PreTax Margin |
9.09 |
|
BV/Share |
196 |
|
|
5Y Average FCF |
|
₹49B |
6.9% (1.7%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Overall Market Assumptions: |
|
|
Assumptions: |
|
|
|
P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
|
|
|
Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
|
|
|
Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
|
|
|
Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
|
|
|
Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
|
Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF Projection (6.9%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2026 |
|
₹56B |
|
|
MBG Intrinsic Value |
₹429 |
|
|
2027 |
|
₹59B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2028 |
|
₹64B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2029 |
|
₹68B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2030 |
|
₹73B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2031 |
|
₹78B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Terminal Value |
|
₹1,615B |
|
|
Net Worth/Share |
₹314 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DCF Valuation |
|
DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Enterprise Value |
₹1,357B |
|
|
|
Growth Rate |
|
|
(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
₹43B |
|
|
₹1,583 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
|
|
(-) Total Debt |
₹0 |
|
WACC |
7.3% |
1,396 |
1,496 |
1,615 |
1,763 |
1,948 |
|
|
Equity Value |
₹1,401B |
|
7.4% |
1,385 |
1,482 |
1,599 |
1,743 |
1,924 |
|
|
Shares Outstanding |
884,972,032 |
|
7.4% |
1,373 |
1,468 |
1,583 |
1,723 |
1,899 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.9% |
1,267 |
1,345 |
1,438 |
1,550 |
1,687 |
|
|
DCF Intrinsic Value |
₹1,583 |
|
8.4% |
1,176 |
1,241 |
1,318 |
1,409 |
1,519 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|