|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Intrinsic Valuation of: TATASTEEL |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
|
Key Statistics |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2020 |
|
- |
- |
|
EPS (FY) |
3 |
|
Market Cap |
₹1,996B |
|
|
2021 |
|
- |
- (-) |
|
P/E Ratio |
58 |
|
Total Asset |
₹2,794B |
|
|
2022 |
|
₹339B |
- (-) |
|
Net Income |
₹34B |
|
Total Debt |
₹686B |
|
|
2023 |
|
₹75B |
-77.7% (-77.7%) |
|
EBITDA |
₹262B |
|
Total Liab |
₹1,880B |
|
|
2024 |
|
₹21B |
-72.2% (-70.5%) |
|
Opr Margin |
0.07 |
|
Debt/Equity |
0.75 |
|
|
2025 |
|
₹78B |
274.5% (292.5%) |
|
PreTax Margin |
3.48 |
|
BV/Share |
58 |
|
|
5Y Average FCF |
|
₹128B |
41.5% (48.1%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Overall Market Assumptions: |
|
|
Assumptions: |
|
|
|
P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
|
|
|
Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
|
|
|
Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
|
|
|
Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
|
|
|
Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
|
Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF Projection (25.0%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2026 |
|
₹98B |
|
|
MBG Intrinsic Value |
₹25 |
|
|
2027 |
|
₹123B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2028 |
|
₹153B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2029 |
|
₹191B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2030 |
|
₹239B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2031 |
|
₹299B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Terminal Value |
|
₹6,219B |
|
|
Net Worth/Share |
₹73 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DCF Valuation |
|
DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Enterprise Value |
₹4,872B |
|
|
|
Growth Rate |
|
|
(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
₹96B |
|
|
₹343 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
|
|
(-) Total Debt |
₹686B |
|
WACC |
7.3% |
292 |
319 |
352 |
392 |
443 |
|
|
Equity Value |
₹4,282B |
|
7.4% |
289 |
316 |
348 |
387 |
436 |
|
|
Shares Outstanding |
12,471,799,808 |
|
7.4% |
286 |
312 |
343 |
382 |
430 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.9% |
257 |
279 |
304 |
335 |
372 |
|
|
DCF Intrinsic Value |
₹343 |
|
8.4% |
233 |
251 |
272 |
297 |
326 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|