|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Intrinsic Valuation of: SWIGGY |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
|
Key Statistics |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2020 |
|
- |
- |
|
EPS (FY) |
-14 |
|
Market Cap |
₹917B |
|
|
2021 |
|
- |
- (-) |
|
P/E Ratio |
- |
|
Total Asset |
₹152B |
|
|
2022 |
|
₹-42B |
- (-) |
|
Net Income |
₹-31B |
|
Total Debt |
₹0 |
|
|
2023 |
|
₹-42B |
-0.9% (31.0%) |
|
EBITDA |
₹-24B |
|
Total Liab |
₹50B |
|
|
2024 |
|
₹-17B |
60.6% (71.5%) |
|
Opr Margin |
-0.22 |
|
Debt/Equity |
- |
|
|
2025 |
|
₹-29B |
-75.5% (-29.6%) |
|
PreTax Margin |
-22.98 |
|
BV/Share |
40 |
|
|
5Y Average FCF |
|
₹-33B |
-5.2% (24.3%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Overall Market Assumptions: |
|
|
Assumptions: |
|
|
|
P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
|
|
|
Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
|
|
|
Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
|
|
|
Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
|
|
|
Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
|
Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF Projection (4.0%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2026 |
|
₹-34B |
|
|
MBG Intrinsic Value |
₹-123 |
|
|
2027 |
|
₹-35B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2028 |
|
₹-37B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2029 |
|
₹-38B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2030 |
|
₹-40B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2031 |
|
₹-41B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Terminal Value |
|
₹-855B |
|
|
Net Worth/Share |
₹45 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DCF Valuation |
|
DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Enterprise Value |
₹-731B |
|
|
|
Growth Rate |
|
|
(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
₹12B |
|
|
₹-314 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
|
|
(-) Total Debt |
₹0 |
|
WACC |
7.3% |
-276 |
-296 |
-320 |
-351 |
-389 |
|
|
Equity Value |
₹-718B |
|
7.4% |
-273 |
-293 |
-317 |
-346 |
-383 |
|
|
Shares Outstanding |
2,290,119,936 |
|
7.4% |
-271 |
-290 |
-314 |
-342 |
-379 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.9% |
-249 |
-265 |
-284 |
-307 |
-335 |
|
|
DCF Intrinsic Value |
₹-314 |
|
8.4% |
-230 |
-244 |
-259 |
-278 |
-300 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|