|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Intrinsic Valuation of: SJVN |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
|
Key Statistics |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2020 |
|
- |
- |
|
EPS (FY) |
2 |
|
Market Cap |
₹395B |
|
|
2021 |
|
- |
- (-) |
|
P/E Ratio |
48 |
|
Total Asset |
₹461B |
|
|
2022 |
|
₹-23B |
- (-) |
|
Net Income |
₹8B |
|
Total Debt |
₹262B |
|
|
2023 |
|
₹-52B |
-128.7% (-95.1%) |
|
EBITDA |
₹25B |
|
Total Liab |
₹319B |
|
|
2024 |
|
₹-43B |
17.1% (9.4%) |
|
Opr Margin |
0.50 |
|
Debt/Equity |
1.85 |
|
|
2025 |
|
₹-42B |
3.6% (19.0%) |
|
PreTax Margin |
26.09 |
|
BV/Share |
35 |
|
|
5Y Average FCF |
|
₹-40B |
-36.0% (-22.2%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Overall Market Assumptions: |
|
|
Assumptions: |
|
|
|
P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
|
|
|
Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
|
|
|
Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
|
|
|
Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
|
|
|
Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
|
Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF Projection (4.0%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2026 |
|
₹-42B |
|
|
MBG Intrinsic Value |
₹19 |
|
|
2027 |
|
₹-43B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2028 |
|
₹-45B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2029 |
|
₹-47B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2030 |
|
₹-49B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2031 |
|
₹-51B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Terminal Value |
|
₹-1,056B |
|
|
Net Worth/Share |
₹36 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DCF Valuation |
|
DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Enterprise Value |
₹-902B |
|
|
|
Growth Rate |
|
|
(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
₹4B |
|
|
₹-295 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
|
|
(-) Total Debt |
₹262B |
|
WACC |
7.3% |
-268 |
-283 |
-300 |
-322 |
-349 |
|
|
Equity Value |
₹-1,161B |
|
7.4% |
-266 |
-280 |
-298 |
-319 |
-346 |
|
|
Shares Outstanding |
3,929,799,936 |
|
7.4% |
-264 |
-278 |
-295 |
-316 |
-342 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.9% |
-249 |
-260 |
-274 |
-291 |
-311 |
|
|
DCF Intrinsic Value |
₹-295 |
|
8.4% |
-235 |
-245 |
-256 |
-270 |
-286 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|