| Intrinsic Valuation of: SHREECEM | |||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF (FCF/Revenue) | |||||||||
| 2020 | - | - | EPS (FY) | 312 | Market Cap | ₹1,125B | |||||
| 2021 | - | - (-) | P/E Ratio | 100 | Total Asset | ₹285B | |||||
| 2022 | ₹4B | - (-) | Net Income | ₹11B | Total Debt | ₹7B | |||||
| 2023 | ₹-7B | -265.8% (-238.7%) | EBITDA | ₹45B | Total Liab | ₹69B | |||||
| 2024 | ₹1B | 119.7% (116.9%) | Opr Margin | 0.05 | Debt/Equity | 0.03 | |||||
| 2025 | ₹8B | 454.3% (486.5%) | PreTax Margin | 3.75 | BV/Share | 5,943 | |||||
| 5Y Average FCF | ₹2B | 102.7% (121.6%) | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.0 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.5% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.4% | ||||||||
| Discount Rate (WACC): | 7.4% | Current US Bond Yield: | 3.5% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection (25.0%) | ||||||||||
| 2026 | ₹10B | MBG Intrinsic Value | ₹2,789 | ||||||||
| 2027 | ₹13B | ||||||||||
| 2028 | ₹16B | ||||||||||
| 2029 | ₹20B | ||||||||||
| 2030 | ₹25B | ||||||||||
| 2031 | ₹31B | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | ₹647B | Net Worth/Share | ₹5,981 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | ₹507B | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | ₹1B | ₹13,883 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | ₹7B | WACC | 7.3% | 12,050 | 13,024 | 14,200 | 15,647 | 17,472 | |||
| Equity Value | ₹501B | 7.4% | 11,935 | 12,889 | 14,040 | 15,453 | 17,230 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 36,080,700 | 7.4% | 11,821 | 12,757 | 13,883 | 15,262 | 16,993 | ||||
| 7.9% | 10,788 | 11,561 | 12,475 | 13,575 | 14,923 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | ₹13,883 | 8.4% | 9,907 | 10,552 | 11,307 | 12,200 | 13,275 | ||||
| Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) | |||||||||||