|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Intrinsic Valuation of: POLYCAB |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
|
Key Statistics |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2020 |
|
- |
- |
|
EPS (FY) |
134 |
|
Market Cap |
₹1,002B |
|
|
2021 |
|
- |
- (-) |
|
P/E Ratio |
50 |
|
Total Asset |
₹138B |
|
|
2022 |
|
₹-151M |
- (-) |
|
Net Income |
₹20B |
|
Total Debt |
₹419M |
|
|
2023 |
|
₹9B |
6386.1% (5512.7%) |
|
EBITDA |
₹32B |
|
Total Liab |
₹39B |
|
|
2024 |
|
₹4B |
-53.8% (-64.3%) |
|
Opr Margin |
0.12 |
|
Debt/Equity |
0.00 |
|
|
2025 |
|
₹8B |
91.6% (54.3%) |
|
PreTax Margin |
11.13 |
|
BV/Share |
652 |
|
|
5Y Average FCF |
|
₹6B |
2141.3% (1834.2%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Overall Market Assumptions: |
|
|
Assumptions: |
|
|
|
P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
|
|
|
Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
|
|
|
Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
|
|
|
Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
|
|
|
Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
|
Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF Projection (25.0%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2026 |
|
₹10B |
|
|
MBG Intrinsic Value |
₹1,198 |
|
|
2027 |
|
₹13B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2028 |
|
₹16B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2029 |
|
₹20B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2030 |
|
₹26B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2031 |
|
₹32B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Terminal Value |
|
₹665B |
|
|
Net Worth/Share |
₹659 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DCF Valuation |
|
DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Enterprise Value |
₹521B |
|
|
|
Growth Rate |
|
|
(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
₹2B |
|
|
₹3,476 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
|
|
(-) Total Debt |
₹419M |
|
WACC |
7.3% |
3,024 |
3,264 |
3,554 |
3,911 |
4,362 |
|
|
Equity Value |
₹523B |
|
7.4% |
2,996 |
3,231 |
3,515 |
3,863 |
4,302 |
|
|
Shares Outstanding |
150,427,008 |
|
7.4% |
2,968 |
3,199 |
3,476 |
3,817 |
4,243 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.9% |
2,713 |
2,903 |
3,129 |
3,400 |
3,733 |
|
|
DCF Intrinsic Value |
₹3,476 |
|
8.4% |
2,495 |
2,655 |
2,841 |
3,061 |
3,326 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|