|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Intrinsic Valuation of: PAGEIND |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
|
Key Statistics |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2020 |
|
- |
- |
|
EPS (FY) |
655 |
|
Market Cap |
₹551B |
|
|
2021 |
|
- |
- (-) |
|
P/E Ratio |
74 |
|
Total Asset |
₹26B |
|
|
2022 |
|
₹2B |
- (-) |
|
Net Income |
₹7B |
|
Total Debt |
₹0 |
|
|
2023 |
|
₹-2B |
-173.1% (-158.2%) |
|
EBITDA |
₹11B |
|
Total Liab |
₹12B |
|
|
2024 |
|
₹10B |
688.5% (702.6%) |
|
Opr Margin |
0.20 |
|
Debt/Equity |
- |
|
|
2025 |
|
₹11B |
14.2% (5.7%) |
|
PreTax Margin |
18.58 |
|
BV/Share |
1,258 |
|
|
5Y Average FCF |
|
₹5B |
176.6% (183.4%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Overall Market Assumptions: |
|
|
Assumptions: |
|
|
|
P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
|
|
|
Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
|
|
|
Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
|
|
|
Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
|
|
|
Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
|
Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF Projection (25.0%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2026 |
|
₹14B |
|
|
MBG Intrinsic Value |
₹5,863 |
|
|
2027 |
|
₹18B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2028 |
|
₹22B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2029 |
|
₹27B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2030 |
|
₹34B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2031 |
|
₹43B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Terminal Value |
|
₹891B |
|
|
Net Worth/Share |
₹1,262 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DCF Valuation |
|
DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Enterprise Value |
₹698B |
|
|
|
Growth Rate |
|
|
(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
₹2B |
|
|
₹62,827 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
|
|
(-) Total Debt |
₹0 |
|
WACC |
7.3% |
54,654 |
58,997 |
64,239 |
70,692 |
78,829 |
|
|
Equity Value |
₹701B |
|
7.4% |
54,141 |
58,397 |
63,526 |
69,825 |
77,747 |
|
|
Shares Outstanding |
11,153,900 |
|
7.4% |
53,637 |
57,809 |
62,827 |
68,977 |
76,692 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.9% |
49,032 |
52,474 |
56,550 |
61,453 |
67,462 |
|
|
DCF Intrinsic Value |
₹62,827 |
|
8.4% |
45,101 |
47,979 |
51,343 |
55,325 |
60,116 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|