| Intrinsic Valuation of: NATIONALUM | |||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF (FCF/Revenue) | |||||||||
| 2020 | - | - | EPS (FY) | 29 | Market Cap | ₹354B | |||||
| 2021 | - | - (-) | P/E Ratio | 7 | Total Asset | ₹229B | |||||
| 2022 | ₹28B | - (-) | Net Income | ₹53B | Total Debt | ₹0 | |||||
| 2023 | ₹-6B | -122.6% (-122.7%) | EBITDA | ₹79B | Total Liab | ₹51B | |||||
| 2024 | ₹11B | 271.2% (284.5%) | Opr Margin | 0.41 | Debt/Equity | - | |||||
| 2025 | ₹46B | 329.9% (236.7%) | PreTax Margin | 40.55 | BV/Share | 92 | |||||
| 5Y Average FCF | ₹20B | 159.5% (132.8%) | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.0 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.5% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.4% | ||||||||
| Discount Rate (WACC): | 7.4% | Current US Bond Yield: | 3.5% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection (25.0%) | ||||||||||
| 2026 | ₹58B | MBG Intrinsic Value | ₹256 | ||||||||
| 2027 | ₹72B | ||||||||||
| 2028 | ₹90B | ||||||||||
| 2029 | ₹112B | ||||||||||
| 2030 | ₹141B | ||||||||||
| 2031 | ₹176B | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | ₹3,652B | Net Worth/Share | ₹97 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | ₹2,861B | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | ₹1B | ₹1,558 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | ₹0 | WACC | 7.3% | 1,355 | 1,463 | 1,594 | 1,754 | 1,957 | |||
| Equity Value | ₹2,862B | 7.4% | 1,342 | 1,448 | 1,576 | 1,733 | 1,930 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 1,836,630,016 | 7.4% | 1,330 | 1,434 | 1,558 | 1,711 | 1,903 | ||||
| 7.9% | 1,215 | 1,301 | 1,402 | 1,524 | 1,674 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | ₹1,558 | 8.4% | 1,117 | 1,189 | 1,273 | 1,372 | 1,491 | ||||
| Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) | |||||||||||