| Intrinsic Valuation of: MOTILALOFS | |||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF (FCF/Revenue) | |||||||||
| 2020 | - | - | EPS (FY) | 45 | Market Cap | ₹515B | |||||
| 2021 | - | - (-) | P/E Ratio | 19 | Total Asset | ₹340B | |||||
| 2022 | ₹10B | - (-) | Net Income | ₹25B | Total Debt | ₹45B | |||||
| 2023 | ₹-32B | -435.9% (-422.6%) | EBITDA | ₹46B | Total Liab | ₹229B | |||||
| 2024 | ₹-5B | 84.4% (88.5%) | Opr Margin | 0.40 | Debt/Equity | 0.41 | |||||
| 2025 | ₹10B | 306.0% (265.5%) | PreTax Margin | 20.13 | BV/Share | 184 | |||||
| 5Y Average FCF | ₹-4B | -15.2% (-22.9%) | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.0 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.5% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.4% | ||||||||
| Discount Rate (WACC): | 7.4% | Current US Bond Yield: | 3.5% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection (4.0%) | ||||||||||
| 2026 | ₹11B | MBG Intrinsic Value | ₹406 | ||||||||
| 2027 | ₹11B | ||||||||||
| 2028 | ₹12B | ||||||||||
| 2029 | ₹12B | ||||||||||
| 2030 | ₹13B | ||||||||||
| 2031 | ₹13B | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | ₹271B | Net Worth/Share | ₹185 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | ₹232B | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | ₹66B | ₹420 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | ₹45B | WACC | 7.3% | 374 | 399 | 428 | 465 | 511 | |||
| Equity Value | ₹252B | 7.4% | 371 | 395 | 424 | 460 | 505 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 600,409,984 | 7.4% | 368 | 392 | 420 | 455 | 499 | ||||
| 7.9% | 342 | 361 | 384 | 412 | 446 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | ₹420 | 8.4% | 319 | 336 | 355 | 377 | 404 | ||||
| Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) | |||||||||||