| Intrinsic Valuation of: MOTILALOFS | |||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF (FCF/Revenue) | |||||||||
| 2020 | - | - | EPS (FY) | 33 | Market Cap | ₹508B | |||||
| 2021 | - | - (-) | P/E Ratio | 26 | Total Asset | ₹340B | |||||
| 2022 | ₹10B | - (-) | Net Income | ₹25B | Total Debt | ₹45B | |||||
| 2023 | ₹-32B | -435.9% (-422.6%) | EBITDA | ₹46B | Total Liab | ₹229B | |||||
| 2024 | ₹-5B | 84.4% (88.5%) | Opr Margin | 39.58 | Debt/Equity | 0.41 | |||||
| 2025 | ₹9B | 285.9% (249.3%) | PreTax Margin | 20.13 | BV/Share | 183 | |||||
| 5Y Average FCF | ₹-5B | 4.1% (-28.3%) | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.0 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.48% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.40% | ||||||||
| Discount Rate (WACC): | 7.41% | Current US Bond Yield: | 3.48% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection (4.1%) | ||||||||||
| 2026 | ₹10B | MBG Intrinsic Value | ₹294 | ||||||||
| 2027 | ₹10B | ||||||||||
| 2028 | ₹10B | ||||||||||
| 2029 | ₹11B | ||||||||||
| 2030 | ₹11B | ||||||||||
| 2031 | ₹11B | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | ₹236B | Net Worth/Share | ₹185 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | ₹203B | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | ₹66B | ₹371 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | ₹45B | WACC | 6.5% | 380 | 410 | 448 | 496 | 561 | |||
| Equity Value | ₹224B | 7.2% | 335 | 357 | 384 | 417 | 459 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 602,044,654 | 8.0% | 302 | 318 | 338 | 362 | 390 | ||||
| 8.7% | 274 | 287 | 302 | 320 | 341 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | ₹371 | 9.4% | 252 | 262 | 274 | 287 | 303 | ||||
| Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) | |||||||||||