| Intrinsic Valuation of: MOTILALOFS | |||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF (FCF/Revenue) | |||||||||
| 2020 | - | - | EPS (FY) | 41 | Market Cap | ₹522B | |||||
| 2021 | - | - (-) | P/E Ratio | 21 | Total Asset | ₹340B | |||||
| 2022 | ₹10B | - (-) | Net Income | ₹25B | Total Debt | ₹147B | |||||
| 2023 | ₹-32B | -435.9% (-422.6%) | EBITDA | ₹46B | Total Liab | ₹229B | |||||
| 2024 | ₹-5B | 84.4% (89.3%) | Opr Margin | 0.64 | Debt/Equity | 1.32 | |||||
| 2025 | ₹9B | 285.9% (248.2%) | PreTax Margin | 44.97 | BV/Share | 184 | |||||
| 5Y Average FCF | ₹-5B | -21.9% (-28.4%) | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.0 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.5% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.4% | ||||||||
| Discount Rate (WACC): | 7.4% | Current US Bond Yield: | 3.5% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection (4.0%) | ||||||||||
| 2026 | ₹10B | MBG Intrinsic Value | ₹367 | ||||||||
| 2027 | ₹10B | ||||||||||
| 2028 | ₹10B | ||||||||||
| 2029 | ₹11B | ||||||||||
| 2030 | ₹11B | ||||||||||
| 2031 | ₹12B | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | ₹245B | Net Worth/Share | ₹186 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | ₹209B | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | ₹66B | ₹213 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | ₹147B | WACC | 7.3% | 172 | 194 | 220 | 253 | 295 | |||
| Equity Value | ₹128B | 7.4% | 169 | 191 | 217 | 249 | 289 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 599,510,976 | 7.4% | 166 | 188 | 213 | 245 | 284 | ||||
| 7.9% | 142 | 160 | 181 | 206 | 237 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | ₹213 | 8.4% | 122 | 137 | 154 | 174 | 199 | ||||
| Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) | |||||||||||