|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Intrinsic Valuation of: MFSL |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
|
Key Statistics |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2020 |
|
- |
- |
|
EPS (FY) |
10 |
|
Market Cap |
₹571B |
|
|
2021 |
|
- |
- (-) |
|
P/E Ratio |
172 |
|
Total Asset |
₹1,900B |
|
|
2022 |
|
₹84B |
- (-) |
|
Net Income |
₹3B |
|
Total Debt |
₹10B |
|
|
2023 |
|
₹97B |
16.5% (16.0%) |
|
EBITDA |
- |
|
Total Liab |
₹1,836B |
|
|
2024 |
|
₹59B |
-39.7% (-59.4%) |
|
Opr Margin |
- |
|
Debt/Equity |
0.16 |
|
|
2025 |
|
₹81B |
38.3% (38.6%) |
|
PreTax Margin |
- |
|
BV/Share |
138 |
|
|
5Y Average FCF |
|
₹80B |
5.0% (-1.6%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Overall Market Assumptions: |
|
|
Assumptions: |
|
|
|
P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
|
|
|
Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
|
|
|
Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
|
|
|
Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
|
|
|
Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
|
Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF Projection (5.0%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2026 |
|
₹85B |
|
|
MBG Intrinsic Value |
₹86 |
|
|
2027 |
|
₹90B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2028 |
|
₹94B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2029 |
|
₹99B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2030 |
|
₹104B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2031 |
|
₹109B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Terminal Value |
|
₹2,272B |
|
|
Net Worth/Share |
₹186 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DCF Valuation |
|
DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Enterprise Value |
₹1,929B |
|
|
|
Growth Rate |
|
|
(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
₹11B |
|
|
₹5,591 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
|
|
(-) Total Debt |
₹10B |
|
WACC |
7.3% |
4,919 |
5,277 |
5,708 |
6,240 |
6,910 |
|
|
Equity Value |
₹1,930B |
|
7.4% |
4,876 |
5,227 |
5,649 |
6,168 |
6,820 |
|
|
Shares Outstanding |
345,115,008 |
|
7.4% |
4,834 |
5,178 |
5,591 |
6,097 |
6,733 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.9% |
4,450 |
4,734 |
5,069 |
5,473 |
5,968 |
|
|
DCF Intrinsic Value |
₹5,591 |
|
8.4% |
4,122 |
4,359 |
4,636 |
4,964 |
5,358 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|