| Intrinsic Valuation of: LODHA | |||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF (FCF/Revenue) | |||||||||
| 2020 | - | - | EPS (FY) | 28 | Market Cap | ₹1,388B | |||||
| 2021 | - | - (-) | P/E Ratio | 50 | Total Asset | ₹498B | |||||
| 2022 | ₹20B | - (-) | Net Income | ₹28B | Total Debt | ₹12B | |||||
| 2023 | ₹27B | 36.1% (33.4%) | EBITDA | ₹44B | Total Liab | ₹296B | |||||
| 2024 | ₹23B | -11.9% (-20.3%) | Opr Margin | 0.27 | Debt/Equity | 0.06 | |||||
| 2025 | ₹11B | -53.4% (-65.1%) | PreTax Margin | 22.98 | BV/Share | 199 | |||||
| 5Y Average FCF | ₹20B | -9.7% (-17.3%) | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.0 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.5% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.4% | ||||||||
| Discount Rate (WACC): | 7.4% | Current US Bond Yield: | 3.5% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection (4.0%) | ||||||||||
| 2026 | ₹11B | MBG Intrinsic Value | ₹248 | ||||||||
| 2027 | ₹12B | ||||||||||
| 2028 | ₹12B | ||||||||||
| 2029 | ₹13B | ||||||||||
| 2030 | ₹13B | ||||||||||
| 2031 | ₹14B | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | ₹287B | Net Worth/Share | ₹203 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | ₹245B | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | ₹9B | ₹243 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | ₹12B | WACC | 7.3% | 214 | 229 | 248 | 271 | 301 | |||
| Equity Value | ₹242B | 7.4% | 212 | 227 | 246 | 268 | 297 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 997,811,008 | 7.4% | 210 | 225 | 243 | 265 | 293 | ||||
| 7.9% | 193 | 206 | 220 | 238 | 259 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | ₹243 | 8.4% | 179 | 189 | 201 | 216 | 233 | ||||
| Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) | |||||||||||