| Intrinsic Valuation of: LODHA | |||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF (FCF/Revenue) | |||||||||
| 2021 | - | - | EPS (FY) | 34 | Market Cap | ₹849B | |||||
| 2022 | - | - (-) | P/E Ratio | 25 | Total Asset | ₹589B | |||||
| 2023 | ₹27B | - (-) | Net Income | ₹34B | Total Debt | ₹37B | |||||
| 2024 | ₹23B | -11.9% (-19.4%) | EBITDA | ₹54B | Total Liab | ₹355B | |||||
| 2025 | ₹11B | -53.4% (-65.5%) | Opr Margin | 27.44 | Debt/Equity | 0.16 | |||||
| 2026 | ₹7B | -35.0% (-46.3%) | PreTax Margin | 23.50 | BV/Share | 231 | |||||
| 5Y Average FCF | ₹17B | 3.5% (-43.7%) | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.0 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.48% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.40% | ||||||||
| Discount Rate (WACC): | 7.15% | Current US Bond Yield: | 3.48% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection (3.5%) | ||||||||||
| 2027 | ₹10B | MBG Intrinsic Value | ₹306 | ||||||||
| 2028 | ₹11B | ||||||||||
| 2029 | ₹11B | ||||||||||
| 2030 | ₹11B | ||||||||||
| 2031 | ₹12B | ||||||||||
| 2032 | ₹12B | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | ₹264B | Net Worth/Share | ₹235 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | ₹227B | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | ₹27B | ₹217 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | ₹37B | WACC | 6.5% | 210 | 230 | 254 | 285 | 326 | |||
| Equity Value | ₹217B | 7.2% | 185 | 199 | 217 | 238 | 266 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 998,915,116 | 7.8% | 164 | 175 | 189 | 205 | 224 | ||||
| 8.5% | 147 | 156 | 166 | 178 | 193 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | ₹217 | 9.2% | 134 | 141 | 149 | 158 | 169 | ||||
| Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) | |||||||||||