|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Intrinsic Valuation of: LLOYDSME |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
|
Key Statistics |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2020 |
|
- |
- |
|
EPS (FY) |
26 |
|
Market Cap |
₹832B |
|
|
2021 |
|
- |
- (-) |
|
P/E Ratio |
61 |
|
Total Asset |
₹94B |
|
|
2022 |
|
₹-1B |
- (-) |
|
Net Income |
₹14B |
|
Total Debt |
₹8B |
|
|
2023 |
|
₹-9B |
-567.1% (-36.0%) |
|
EBITDA |
₹20B |
|
Total Liab |
₹30B |
|
|
2024 |
|
₹-196M |
97.8% (98.9%) |
|
Opr Margin |
0.28 |
|
Debt/Equity |
0.12 |
|
|
2025 |
|
₹-25B |
-12589.6% (-12311.3%) |
|
PreTax Margin |
27.84 |
|
BV/Share |
122 |
|
|
5Y Average FCF |
|
₹-9B |
-4352.9% (-4082.8%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Overall Market Assumptions: |
|
|
Assumptions: |
|
|
|
P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
|
|
|
Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
|
|
|
Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
|
|
|
Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
|
|
|
Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
|
Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF Projection (4.0%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2026 |
|
₹-9B |
|
|
MBG Intrinsic Value |
₹232 |
|
|
2027 |
|
₹-10B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2028 |
|
₹-10B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2029 |
|
₹-10B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2030 |
|
₹-11B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2031 |
|
₹-11B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Terminal Value |
|
₹-234B |
|
|
Net Worth/Share |
₹122 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DCF Valuation |
|
DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Enterprise Value |
₹-200B |
|
|
|
Growth Rate |
|
|
(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
₹400M |
|
|
₹-395 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
|
|
(-) Total Debt |
₹8B |
|
WACC |
7.3% |
-350 |
-374 |
-403 |
-439 |
-485 |
|
|
Equity Value |
₹-207B |
|
7.4% |
-347 |
-371 |
-399 |
-435 |
-479 |
|
|
Shares Outstanding |
523,080,992 |
|
7.4% |
-344 |
-367 |
-395 |
-430 |
-473 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.9% |
-318 |
-337 |
-360 |
-387 |
-421 |
|
|
DCF Intrinsic Value |
₹-395 |
|
8.4% |
-296 |
-312 |
-330 |
-353 |
-380 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|