|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Intrinsic Valuation of: KPRMILL |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
|
Key Statistics |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2020 |
|
- |
- |
|
EPS (FY) |
24 |
|
Market Cap |
₹390B |
|
|
2021 |
|
- |
- (-) |
|
P/E Ratio |
46 |
|
Total Asset |
₹59B |
|
|
2022 |
|
₹4B |
- (-) |
|
Net Income |
₹8B |
|
Total Debt |
₹3B |
|
|
2023 |
|
₹-4B |
-206.5% (-178.0%) |
|
EBITDA |
₹13B |
|
Total Liab |
₹15B |
|
|
2024 |
|
₹-803M |
79.8% (84.2%) |
|
Opr Margin |
0.18 |
|
Debt/Equity |
0.07 |
|
|
2025 |
|
₹4B |
541.2% (551.5%) |
|
PreTax Margin |
17.33 |
|
BV/Share |
127 |
|
|
5Y Average FCF |
|
₹625M |
138.2% (152.6%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Overall Market Assumptions: |
|
|
Assumptions: |
|
|
|
P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
|
|
|
Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
|
|
|
Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
|
|
|
Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
|
|
|
Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
|
Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF Projection (25.0%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2026 |
|
₹4B |
|
|
MBG Intrinsic Value |
₹216 |
|
|
2027 |
|
₹6B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2028 |
|
₹7B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2029 |
|
₹9B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2030 |
|
₹11B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2031 |
|
₹14B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Terminal Value |
|
₹281B |
|
|
Net Worth/Share |
₹128 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DCF Valuation |
|
DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Enterprise Value |
₹220B |
|
|
|
Growth Rate |
|
|
(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
₹751M |
|
|
₹638 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
|
|
(-) Total Debt |
₹3B |
|
WACC |
7.3% |
554 |
598 |
652 |
719 |
803 |
|
|
Equity Value |
₹218B |
|
7.4% |
549 |
592 |
645 |
710 |
791 |
|
|
Shares Outstanding |
341,814,016 |
|
7.4% |
543 |
586 |
638 |
701 |
781 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.9% |
496 |
531 |
573 |
624 |
686 |
|
|
DCF Intrinsic Value |
₹638 |
|
8.4% |
455 |
485 |
520 |
561 |
610 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|