|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Intrinsic Valuation of: KOTAKBANK |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
|
Key Statistics |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2020 |
|
- |
- |
|
EPS (FY) |
96 |
|
Market Cap |
₹3,898B |
|
|
2021 |
|
- |
- (-) |
|
P/E Ratio |
20 |
|
Total Asset |
₹8,798B |
|
|
2022 |
|
₹76B |
- (-) |
|
Net Income |
₹221B |
|
Total Debt |
₹0 |
|
|
2023 |
|
₹-22B |
-129.2% (-125.9%) |
|
EBITDA |
- |
|
Total Liab |
₹7,223B |
|
|
2024 |
|
₹146B |
753.1% (586.1%) |
|
Opr Margin |
- |
|
Debt/Equity |
- |
|
|
2025 |
|
₹157B |
7.9% (-1.5%) |
|
PreTax Margin |
- |
|
BV/Share |
787 |
|
|
5Y Average FCF |
|
₹89B |
210.6% (152.9%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Overall Market Assumptions: |
|
|
Assumptions: |
|
|
|
P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
|
|
|
Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
|
|
|
Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
|
|
|
Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
|
|
|
Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
|
Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF Projection (25.0%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2026 |
|
₹196B |
|
|
MBG Intrinsic Value |
₹861 |
|
|
2027 |
|
₹245B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2028 |
|
₹307B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2029 |
|
₹383B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2030 |
|
₹479B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2031 |
|
₹599B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Terminal Value |
|
₹12,454B |
|
|
Net Worth/Share |
₹792 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DCF Valuation |
|
DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Enterprise Value |
₹9,756B |
|
|
|
Growth Rate |
|
|
(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
₹811B |
|
|
₹5,315 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
|
|
(-) Total Debt |
₹0 |
|
WACC |
7.3% |
4,674 |
5,015 |
5,426 |
5,931 |
6,569 |
|
|
Equity Value |
₹10,568B |
|
7.4% |
4,634 |
4,968 |
5,370 |
5,863 |
6,484 |
|
|
Shares Outstanding |
1,988,320,000 |
|
7.4% |
4,595 |
4,922 |
5,315 |
5,797 |
6,401 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.9% |
4,234 |
4,504 |
4,823 |
5,207 |
5,678 |
|
|
DCF Intrinsic Value |
₹5,315 |
|
8.4% |
3,926 |
4,151 |
4,415 |
4,727 |
5,102 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|