|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Intrinsic Valuation of: JUBLFOOD |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
|
Key Statistics |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2020 |
|
- |
- |
|
EPS (FY) |
3 |
|
Market Cap |
₹467B |
|
|
2021 |
|
- |
- (-) |
|
P/E Ratio |
208 |
|
Total Asset |
₹85B |
|
|
2022 |
|
₹5B |
- (-) |
|
Net Income |
₹2B |
|
Total Debt |
₹13B |
|
|
2023 |
|
₹2B |
-61.0% (-66.7%) |
|
EBITDA |
₹16B |
|
Total Liab |
₹63B |
|
|
2024 |
|
₹2B |
-14.9% (-22.7%) |
|
Opr Margin |
0.09 |
|
Debt/Equity |
0.59 |
|
|
2025 |
|
₹8B |
405.5% (251.1%) |
|
PreTax Margin |
2.99 |
|
BV/Share |
2 |
|
|
5Y Average FCF |
|
₹4B |
109.9% (53.9%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Overall Market Assumptions: |
|
|
Assumptions: |
|
|
|
P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
|
|
|
Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
|
|
|
Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
|
|
|
Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
|
|
|
Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
|
Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF Projection (25.0%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2026 |
|
₹10B |
|
|
MBG Intrinsic Value |
₹31 |
|
|
2027 |
|
₹12B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2028 |
|
₹15B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2029 |
|
₹19B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2030 |
|
₹24B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2031 |
|
₹30B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Terminal Value |
|
₹628B |
|
|
Net Worth/Share |
₹33 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DCF Valuation |
|
DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Enterprise Value |
₹492B |
|
|
|
Growth Rate |
|
|
(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
₹999M |
|
|
₹730 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
|
|
(-) Total Debt |
₹13B |
|
WACC |
7.3% |
633 |
685 |
747 |
824 |
922 |
|
|
Equity Value |
₹480B |
|
7.4% |
627 |
677 |
739 |
814 |
909 |
|
|
Shares Outstanding |
657,630,976 |
|
7.4% |
621 |
670 |
730 |
804 |
896 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.9% |
565 |
607 |
655 |
714 |
786 |
|
|
DCF Intrinsic Value |
₹730 |
|
8.4% |
518 |
553 |
593 |
641 |
698 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|