| Intrinsic Valuation of: HUDCO | |||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF (FCF/Revenue) | |||||||||
| 2020 | - | - | EPS (FY) | 14 | Market Cap | ₹481B | |||||
| 2021 | - | - (-) | P/E Ratio | 18 | Total Asset | ₹1,285B | |||||
| 2022 | ₹-8B | - (-) | Net Income | ₹27B | Total Debt | ₹0 | |||||
| 2023 | ₹-9B | -5.0% (-0.4%) | EBITDA | - | Total Liab | ₹1,105B | |||||
| 2024 | ₹-103B | -1106.5% (-941.8%) | Opr Margin | - | Debt/Equity | - | |||||
| 2025 | ₹-316B | -207.3% (-154.9%) | PreTax Margin | - | BV/Share | 90 | |||||
| 5Y Average FCF | ₹-109B | -439.6% (-365.7%) | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.0 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.5% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.4% | ||||||||
| Discount Rate (WACC): | 7.4% | Current US Bond Yield: | 3.5% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection (4.0%) | ||||||||||
| 2026 | ₹-113B | MBG Intrinsic Value | ₹121 | ||||||||
| 2027 | ₹-118B | ||||||||||
| 2028 | ₹-123B | ||||||||||
| 2029 | ₹-127B | ||||||||||
| 2030 | ₹-133B | ||||||||||
| 2031 | ₹-138B | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | ₹-2,866B | Net Worth/Share | ₹90 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | ₹-2,449B | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | ₹645M | ₹-1,223 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | ₹0 | WACC | 7.3% | -1,077 | -1,155 | -1,249 | -1,364 | -1,510 | |||
| Equity Value | ₹-2,448B | 7.4% | -1,067 | -1,144 | -1,236 | -1,348 | -1,490 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 2,001,900,032 | 7.4% | -1,058 | -1,133 | -1,223 | -1,333 | -1,471 | ||||
| 7.9% | -975 | -1,036 | -1,109 | -1,197 | -1,305 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | ₹-1,223 | 8.4% | -903 | -955 | -1,015 | -1,086 | -1,172 | ||||
| Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) | |||||||||||