|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Intrinsic Valuation of: GRASIM |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
|
Key Statistics |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2020 |
|
- |
- |
|
EPS (FY) |
56 |
|
Market Cap |
₹1,932B |
|
|
2021 |
|
- |
- (-) |
|
P/E Ratio |
51 |
|
Total Asset |
₹5,005B |
|
|
2022 |
|
₹-16B |
- (-) |
|
Net Income |
₹37B |
|
Total Debt |
₹1,239B |
|
|
2023 |
|
₹-247B |
-1494.9% (-1194.4%) |
|
EBITDA |
₹201B |
|
Total Liab |
₹3,427B |
|
|
2024 |
|
₹-302B |
-22.2% (-9.0%) |
|
Opr Margin |
0.08 |
|
Debt/Equity |
0.79 |
|
|
2025 |
|
₹-344B |
-13.7% (-0.3%) |
|
PreTax Margin |
6.27 |
|
BV/Share |
933 |
|
|
5Y Average FCF |
|
₹-227B |
-510.3% (-401.2%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Overall Market Assumptions: |
|
|
Assumptions: |
|
|
|
P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
|
|
|
Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
|
|
|
Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
|
|
|
Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
|
|
|
Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
|
Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF Projection (4.0%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2026 |
|
₹-236B |
|
|
MBG Intrinsic Value |
₹497 |
|
|
2027 |
|
₹-246B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2028 |
|
₹-255B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2029 |
|
₹-266B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2030 |
|
₹-276B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2031 |
|
₹-287B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Terminal Value |
|
₹-5,974B |
|
|
Net Worth/Share |
₹2,326 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DCF Valuation |
|
DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Enterprise Value |
₹-5,104B |
|
|
|
Growth Rate |
|
|
(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
₹49B |
|
|
₹-9,278 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
|
|
(-) Total Debt |
₹1,239B |
|
WACC |
7.3% |
-8,379 |
-8,857 |
-9,435 |
-10,146 |
-11,042 |
|
|
Equity Value |
₹-6,294B |
|
7.4% |
-8,322 |
-8,791 |
-9,356 |
-10,049 |
-10,922 |
|
|
Shares Outstanding |
678,414,016 |
|
7.4% |
-8,265 |
-8,725 |
-9,278 |
-9,955 |
-10,805 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.9% |
-7,751 |
-8,130 |
-8,579 |
-9,120 |
-9,782 |
|
|
DCF Intrinsic Value |
₹-9,278 |
|
8.4% |
-7,311 |
-7,628 |
-7,999 |
-8,438 |
-8,965 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|