|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Intrinsic Valuation of: BHEL |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
|
Key Statistics |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2020 |
|
- |
- |
|
EPS (FY) |
2 |
|
Market Cap |
₹927B |
|
|
2021 |
|
- |
- (-) |
|
P/E Ratio |
175 |
|
Total Asset |
₹681B |
|
|
2022 |
|
₹5B |
- (-) |
|
Net Income |
₹5B |
|
Total Debt |
₹0 |
|
|
2023 |
|
₹-9B |
-289.3% (-272.3%) |
|
EBITDA |
₹18B |
|
Total Liab |
₹434B |
|
|
2024 |
|
₹-39B |
-324.6% (-293.4%) |
|
Opr Margin |
0.03 |
|
Debt/Equity |
- |
|
|
2025 |
|
₹19B |
148.4% (140.8%) |
|
PreTax Margin |
0.78 |
|
BV/Share |
71 |
|
|
5Y Average FCF |
|
₹-6B |
-155.2% (-141.6%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Overall Market Assumptions: |
|
|
Assumptions: |
|
|
|
P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
|
|
|
Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
|
|
|
Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
|
|
|
Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
|
|
|
Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
|
Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF Projection (4.0%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2026 |
|
₹20B |
|
|
MBG Intrinsic Value |
₹14 |
|
|
2027 |
|
₹21B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2028 |
|
₹21B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2029 |
|
₹22B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2030 |
|
₹23B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2031 |
|
₹24B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Terminal Value |
|
₹503B |
|
|
Net Worth/Share |
₹71 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DCF Valuation |
|
DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Enterprise Value |
₹429B |
|
|
|
Growth Rate |
|
|
(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
₹4B |
|
|
₹125 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
|
|
(-) Total Debt |
₹0 |
|
WACC |
7.3% |
110 |
118 |
127 |
139 |
153 |
|
|
Equity Value |
₹434B |
|
7.4% |
109 |
117 |
126 |
137 |
152 |
|
|
Shares Outstanding |
3,482,060,032 |
|
7.4% |
108 |
116 |
125 |
136 |
150 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.9% |
100 |
106 |
113 |
122 |
133 |
|
|
DCF Intrinsic Value |
₹125 |
|
8.4% |
92 |
98 |
104 |
111 |
119 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|