|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Intrinsic Valuation of: BEL |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
|
Key Statistics |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2020 |
|
- |
- |
|
EPS (FY) |
7 |
|
Market Cap |
₹3,160B |
|
|
2021 |
|
- |
- (-) |
|
P/E Ratio |
58 |
|
Total Asset |
₹408B |
|
|
2022 |
|
₹37B |
- (-) |
|
Net Income |
₹53B |
|
Total Debt |
₹0 |
|
|
2023 |
|
₹6B |
-83.3% (-85.6%) |
|
EBITDA |
₹76B |
|
Total Liab |
₹208B |
|
|
2024 |
|
₹40B |
558.2% (465.2%) |
|
Opr Margin |
0.27 |
|
Debt/Equity |
- |
|
|
2025 |
|
₹-4B |
-110.6% (-109.0%) |
|
PreTax Margin |
26.74 |
|
BV/Share |
26 |
|
|
5Y Average FCF |
|
₹20B |
121.4% (90.2%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Overall Market Assumptions: |
|
|
Assumptions: |
|
|
|
P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
|
|
|
Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
|
|
|
Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
|
|
|
Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
|
|
|
Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
|
Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF Projection (25.0%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2026 |
|
₹25B |
|
|
MBG Intrinsic Value |
₹67 |
|
|
2027 |
|
₹31B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2028 |
|
₹38B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2029 |
|
₹48B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2030 |
|
₹60B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2031 |
|
₹75B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Terminal Value |
|
₹1,555B |
|
|
Net Worth/Share |
₹27 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DCF Valuation |
|
DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Enterprise Value |
₹1,218B |
|
|
|
Growth Rate |
|
|
(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
₹7B |
|
|
₹168 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
|
|
(-) Total Debt |
₹0 |
|
WACC |
7.3% |
146 |
157 |
171 |
189 |
210 |
|
|
Equity Value |
₹1,226B |
|
7.4% |
145 |
156 |
170 |
186 |
207 |
|
|
Shares Outstanding |
7,309,779,968 |
|
7.4% |
143 |
154 |
168 |
184 |
205 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.9% |
131 |
140 |
151 |
164 |
180 |
|
|
DCF Intrinsic Value |
₹168 |
|
8.4% |
120 |
128 |
137 |
148 |
160 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|