|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Intrinsic Valuation of: BALKRISIND |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
|
Key Statistics |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2020 |
|
- |
- |
|
EPS (FY) |
87 |
|
Market Cap |
₹479B |
|
|
2021 |
|
- |
- (-) |
|
P/E Ratio |
29 |
|
Total Asset |
₹156B |
|
|
2022 |
|
₹-7B |
- (-) |
|
Net Income |
₹17B |
|
Total Debt |
₹4B |
|
|
2023 |
|
₹-3B |
54.2% (61.1%) |
|
EBITDA |
₹30B |
|
Total Liab |
₹52B |
|
|
2024 |
|
₹10B |
412.7% (421.9%) |
|
Opr Margin |
0.17 |
|
Debt/Equity |
0.04 |
|
|
2025 |
|
₹3B |
-71.4% (-74.4%) |
|
PreTax Margin |
15.78 |
|
BV/Share |
537 |
|
|
5Y Average FCF |
|
₹657M |
131.8% (136.2%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Overall Market Assumptions: |
|
|
Assumptions: |
|
|
|
P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
|
|
|
Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
|
|
|
Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
|
|
|
Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
|
|
|
Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
|
Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF Projection (25.0%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2026 |
|
₹4B |
|
|
MBG Intrinsic Value |
₹775 |
|
|
2027 |
|
₹4B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2028 |
|
₹5B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2029 |
|
₹7B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2030 |
|
₹9B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2031 |
|
₹11B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Terminal Value |
|
₹223B |
|
|
Net Worth/Share |
₹537 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DCF Valuation |
|
DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Enterprise Value |
₹175B |
|
|
|
Growth Rate |
|
|
(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
₹802M |
|
|
₹888 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
|
|
(-) Total Debt |
₹4B |
|
WACC |
7.3% |
770 |
832 |
908 |
1,001 |
1,119 |
|
|
Equity Value |
₹172B |
|
7.4% |
762 |
824 |
898 |
989 |
1,103 |
|
|
Shares Outstanding |
193,316,992 |
|
7.4% |
755 |
815 |
888 |
976 |
1,088 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.9% |
689 |
738 |
797 |
868 |
955 |
|
|
DCF Intrinsic Value |
₹888 |
|
8.4% |
632 |
673 |
722 |
779 |
849 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|