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Intrinsic Valuation of: BAJAJ-AUTO |
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Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
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Key Statistics |
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Year |
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FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
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2020 |
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- |
- |
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EPS (FY) |
262 |
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Market Cap |
₹2,345B |
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2021 |
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- |
- (-) |
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P/E Ratio |
32 |
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Total Asset |
₹542B |
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2022 |
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₹36B |
- (-) |
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Net Income |
₹73B |
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Total Debt |
₹61B |
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2023 |
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₹42B |
14.3% (3.8%) |
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EBITDA |
₹110B |
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Total Liab |
₹190B |
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2024 |
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₹58B |
39.9% (13.1%) |
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Opr Margin |
0.20 |
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Debt/Equity |
0.17 |
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2025 |
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₹-23B |
-139.1% (-134.8%) |
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PreTax Margin |
19.62 |
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BV/Share |
1,258 |
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5Y Average FCF |
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₹28B |
-28.3% (-39.3%) |
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Overall Market Assumptions: |
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Assumptions: |
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P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
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Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
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Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
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Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
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Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
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Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
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Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
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Year |
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FCF Projection (4.0%) |
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2026 |
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₹30B |
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MBG Intrinsic Value |
₹2,344 |
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2027 |
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₹31B |
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2028 |
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₹32B |
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2029 |
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₹33B |
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2030 |
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₹35B |
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2031 |
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₹36B |
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Terminal Value |
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₹747B |
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Net Worth/Share |
₹1,260 |
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DCF Valuation |
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DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
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Enterprise Value |
₹639B |
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Growth Rate |
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(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
₹23B |
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₹2,152 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
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(-) Total Debt |
₹61B |
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WACC |
7.3% |
1,879 |
2,024 |
2,200 |
2,416 |
2,688 |
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Equity Value |
₹601B |
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7.4% |
1,862 |
2,004 |
2,176 |
2,387 |
2,652 |
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Shares Outstanding |
279,257,984 |
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7.4% |
1,844 |
1,984 |
2,152 |
2,358 |
2,616 |
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7.9% |
1,688 |
1,803 |
1,940 |
2,104 |
2,305 |
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DCF Intrinsic Value |
₹2,152 |
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8.4% |
1,554 |
1,651 |
1,763 |
1,897 |
2,057 |
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Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
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